Race 1A

vietor

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Gus Macaulay 10.7% 11.6% 10.2% 9.9% 10.9% 9.1% 10.4% 7.9% 6.7% 6.1% 3.3% 2.4% 0.8%
Peter Foley 17.2% 14.1% 14.0% 12.5% 12.3% 8.4% 6.3% 5.8% 4.4% 2.7% 1.2% 0.9% 0.2%
Nathaniel Hartwell 2.3% 2.5% 3.1% 3.6% 3.9% 5.0% 5.8% 7.3% 8.5% 9.2% 14.7% 17.2% 16.9%
Skylor Sweet 9.1% 9.7% 10.8% 11.1% 8.3% 9.4% 10.2% 9.1% 6.9% 6.0% 6.2% 2.4% 0.8%
Jack Crager 9.5% 10.1% 8.3% 10.0% 8.8% 9.2% 10.1% 8.6% 8.2% 7.5% 5.2% 3.6% 0.9%
Everett Botwinick 9.3% 10.8% 9.6% 9.8% 8.8% 9.8% 10.6% 7.8% 6.8% 6.7% 5.9% 2.9% 1.2%
Olivia Lowthian 9.0% 7.4% 8.3% 8.3% 7.1% 10.0% 8.9% 9.5% 7.7% 9.3% 7.8% 4.8% 1.9%
Adrian Winkelman 14.3% 14.4% 13.6% 10.4% 13.1% 10.2% 8.2% 5.6% 4.1% 3.0% 1.9% 1.1% 0.1%
Pierson Falk 4.4% 5.3% 4.0% 4.6% 5.9% 6.8% 7.4% 9.7% 9.8% 10.7% 11.5% 11.5% 8.4%
Tiernan O'Kane 1.7% 2.0% 2.3% 1.8% 2.7% 2.3% 3.4% 4.0% 5.1% 6.9% 10.0% 17.5% 40.3%
Gavin Sanborn 4.4% 4.3% 6.5% 6.7% 6.0% 7.2% 6.7% 9.0% 11.5% 10.1% 11.2% 10.7% 5.7%
David Vinogradov 5.9% 5.5% 5.9% 7.7% 9.0% 7.2% 7.5% 8.8% 11.5% 11.0% 9.1% 6.9% 4.0%
Sam Harris 2.2% 2.3% 3.4% 3.6% 3.2% 5.4% 4.5% 6.9% 8.8% 10.8% 12.0% 18.1% 18.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.