Race 2A

vietor

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

23.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
David Vinogradov 6.3% 6.1% 6.9% 7.7% 9.5% 7.4% 8.0% 8.8% 11.5% 9.1% 9.0% 6.5% 3.2%
Adrian Winkelman 13.6% 15.3% 13.3% 11.7% 11.5% 9.1% 7.7% 5.9% 5.7% 3.2% 2.0% 0.4% 0.6%
Tiernan O'Kane 1.5% 1.2% 2.0% 1.3% 2.0% 2.7% 2.6% 4.7% 6.2% 7.4% 10.6% 18.0% 39.8%
Gus Macaulay 10.3% 10.9% 11.2% 11.0% 9.5% 9.2% 9.9% 8.8% 6.1% 6.9% 3.5% 2.0% 0.7%
Jack Crager 9.0% 9.8% 8.1% 11.1% 9.0% 8.7% 8.5% 10.7% 6.9% 7.3% 5.4% 4.0% 1.5%
Skylor Sweet 10.1% 10.4% 10.2% 9.9% 8.7% 10.4% 10.9% 8.0% 6.6% 5.8% 5.5% 2.7% 0.8%
Nathaniel Hartwell 4.0% 2.7% 3.6% 4.7% 4.7% 4.5% 4.7% 5.9% 8.5% 10.3% 11.3% 18.6% 16.5%
Everett Botwinick 9.0% 9.8% 9.9% 9.8% 8.7% 9.1% 10.7% 10.2% 7.2% 6.1% 6.0% 2.8% 0.7%
Olivia Lowthian 7.5% 7.7% 6.9% 7.6% 9.7% 8.8% 10.5% 9.1% 8.1% 8.3% 7.8% 5.1% 2.9%
Peter Foley 17.6% 15.2% 15.3% 11.0% 8.6% 9.6% 8.0% 5.3% 4.2% 2.7% 1.5% 0.8% 0.2%
Pierson Falk 4.3% 4.3% 6.1% 5.2% 7.9% 7.4% 6.6% 8.1% 10.4% 12.8% 10.1% 10.7% 6.1%
Gavin Sanborn 4.3% 4.3% 3.8% 5.8% 6.6% 7.6% 6.3% 8.3% 9.9% 10.9% 14.3% 11.5% 6.4%
Sam Harris 2.5% 2.3% 2.7% 3.2% 3.6% 5.5% 5.6% 6.2% 8.7% 9.2% 13.0% 16.9% 20.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.