Race 4A

vietor

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Skylor Sweet 10.3% 9.5% 10.6% 10.8% 8.5% 9.7% 8.2% 9.6% 7.3% 7.3% 5.2% 2.4% 0.6%
Gus Macaulay 9.9% 11.5% 10.6% 10.1% 11.0% 9.8% 8.7% 8.0% 8.1% 5.7% 3.5% 2.3% 0.8%
Peter Foley 15.2% 16.9% 12.5% 12.0% 10.5% 10.6% 7.8% 5.4% 4.7% 2.6% 1.1% 0.6% 0.1%
Pierson Falk 3.9% 4.7% 5.1% 5.2% 6.4% 7.0% 7.7% 6.9% 10.3% 10.7% 12.6% 12.0% 7.5%
Everett Botwinick 9.6% 11.1% 9.4% 10.8% 8.4% 6.8% 9.6% 11.4% 8.1% 5.5% 4.7% 3.2% 1.4%
David Vinogradov 7.5% 5.2% 8.1% 6.8% 8.2% 8.1% 8.3% 10.4% 9.2% 8.8% 8.8% 7.9% 2.7%
Tiernan O'Kane 1.7% 2.3% 2.2% 1.6% 3.6% 2.8% 3.1% 4.5% 5.6% 5.4% 9.6% 16.8% 40.8%
Adrian Winkelman 15.5% 13.6% 11.9% 11.7% 12.0% 9.9% 8.8% 6.0% 4.7% 3.4% 1.5% 0.8% 0.2%
Nathaniel Hartwell 3.0% 3.8% 3.1% 3.7% 3.1% 5.2% 6.0% 6.2% 6.4% 10.8% 13.7% 17.1% 17.9%
Olivia Lowthian 8.5% 7.3% 7.6% 9.1% 8.5% 8.9% 9.4% 7.6% 7.7% 9.2% 9.0% 4.8% 2.4%
Gavin Sanborn 4.1% 3.9% 6.9% 6.0% 6.9% 7.8% 7.4% 8.4% 10.2% 11.8% 10.6% 9.9% 6.1%
Jack Crager 8.1% 7.6% 9.4% 8.9% 9.7% 8.4% 9.4% 9.2% 9.6% 8.0% 6.0% 4.4% 1.3%
Sam Harris 2.7% 2.6% 2.6% 3.3% 3.2% 5.0% 5.6% 6.4% 8.1% 10.8% 13.7% 17.8% 18.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.