Race 6A

vietor

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Gus Macaulay 11.0% 10.7% 11.7% 9.9% 9.9% 8.7% 10.9% 8.7% 6.1% 5.7% 4.0% 2.1% 0.6%
Adrian Winkelman 14.8% 12.8% 14.3% 12.1% 11.6% 8.1% 8.2% 7.3% 5.1% 3.1% 1.4% 0.9% 0.3%
Olivia Lowthian 6.1% 8.0% 9.3% 7.7% 9.0% 7.7% 9.5% 9.8% 10.2% 8.7% 6.5% 5.1% 2.4%
Skylor Sweet 9.9% 9.3% 10.4% 10.8% 9.4% 9.5% 9.6% 8.1% 7.8% 6.4% 4.8% 3.0% 1.0%
Peter Foley 17.7% 17.2% 11.8% 12.8% 10.1% 9.9% 7.0% 5.5% 2.8% 3.1% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2%
Nathaniel Hartwell 3.3% 2.7% 3.1% 4.4% 4.7% 4.5% 6.9% 5.4% 7.8% 9.7% 13.8% 17.5% 16.2%
Jack Crager 10.5% 8.3% 8.9% 9.2% 7.7% 10.6% 8.6% 9.6% 7.6% 9.4% 4.5% 3.8% 1.3%
David Vinogradov 6.2% 8.6% 5.8% 6.7% 7.5% 8.2% 8.6% 10.2% 10.1% 10.6% 8.1% 6.0% 3.4%
Everett Botwinick 9.1% 7.9% 10.4% 9.9% 10.6% 9.6% 7.7% 9.0% 9.0% 6.1% 6.4% 2.8% 1.5%
Pierson Falk 4.7% 5.6% 4.1% 5.1% 7.1% 6.7% 7.2% 9.3% 9.7% 9.3% 11.6% 11.2% 8.4%
Tiernan O'Kane 1.4% 1.3% 1.6% 2.6% 2.3% 4.2% 4.2% 3.8% 4.9% 7.5% 12.3% 14.9% 39.0%
Sam Harris 2.1% 2.9% 3.2% 3.4% 4.6% 4.7% 5.3% 5.5% 7.8% 9.4% 12.7% 19.8% 18.6%
Gavin Sanborn 3.2% 4.7% 5.4% 5.4% 5.5% 7.6% 6.3% 7.8% 11.1% 11.0% 12.6% 12.3% 7.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.