Race 7A

vietor

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
David Vinogradov 7.1% 5.7% 6.4% 9.2% 8.8% 7.1% 7.1% 10.1% 9.7% 10.6% 8.8% 5.8% 3.6%
Jack Crager 8.6% 8.7% 8.1% 9.6% 9.9% 10.5% 9.9% 7.8% 7.9% 7.9% 5.3% 4.5% 1.3%
Everett Botwinick 7.4% 10.1% 12.1% 9.8% 8.4% 8.7% 10.0% 9.7% 8.4% 5.5% 6.4% 2.2% 1.3%
Peter Foley 17.3% 16.7% 13.0% 11.4% 11.4% 7.8% 8.2% 5.7% 4.4% 2.4% 1.2% 0.3% 0.2%
Olivia Lowthian 8.8% 7.3% 8.8% 8.8% 7.5% 10.0% 9.0% 8.5% 10.7% 7.0% 6.3% 5.9% 1.4%
Sam Harris 2.9% 2.6% 3.8% 4.5% 3.6% 4.2% 6.2% 7.1% 7.7% 10.5% 12.3% 18.4% 16.2%
Gus Macaulay 13.4% 10.2% 10.0% 9.9% 12.1% 8.9% 8.9% 8.0% 6.8% 5.9% 3.2% 2.2% 0.5%
Skylor Sweet 9.3% 10.2% 11.0% 10.2% 8.2% 10.9% 9.6% 10.6% 6.7% 6.0% 3.9% 2.5% 0.9%
Nathaniel Hartwell 2.8% 3.8% 3.3% 3.9% 3.9% 4.4% 5.6% 5.9% 7.7% 10.0% 13.6% 17.0% 18.1%
Tiernan O'Kane 1.5% 2.1% 2.8% 1.7% 2.6% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0% 5.9% 5.9% 10.9% 18.5% 39.1%
Gavin Hudson 13.2% 13.6% 11.2% 10.1% 11.0% 11.3% 7.1% 7.0% 5.9% 5.0% 2.3% 1.6% 0.7%
Pierson Falk 4.1% 4.2% 5.0% 5.1% 6.8% 5.8% 7.1% 8.2% 9.5% 10.8% 13.9% 10.2% 9.3%
Gavin Sanborn 3.6% 4.8% 4.5% 5.8% 5.8% 7.4% 8.3% 8.4% 8.7% 12.5% 11.9% 10.9% 7.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.