Race 8A

vietor

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

23.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Gavin Hudson 12.4% 10.5% 12.3% 12.4% 8.5% 9.9% 10.3% 7.2% 6.1% 6.1% 2.6% 1.3% 0.4%
David Vinogradov 5.6% 7.6% 6.9% 8.0% 7.9% 8.0% 8.6% 10.1% 8.3% 10.3% 9.7% 5.4% 3.6%
Gus Macaulay 10.4% 11.0% 12.0% 9.0% 9.9% 11.4% 9.8% 7.7% 7.7% 5.3% 3.2% 2.2% 0.4%
Jack Crager 8.5% 8.9% 9.5% 9.8% 9.1% 11.1% 6.9% 9.2% 8.3% 8.7% 5.3% 2.5% 2.2%
Tiernan O'Kane 2.4% 1.9% 1.8% 2.6% 2.4% 2.9% 3.5% 4.4% 4.2% 7.1% 10.4% 18.4% 38.0%
Pierson Falk 5.0% 4.8% 5.5% 5.9% 6.5% 5.8% 7.7% 8.1% 11.0% 9.2% 13.4% 10.8% 6.3%
Everett Botwinick 11.0% 10.5% 8.5% 10.0% 9.1% 8.6% 9.2% 8.9% 8.6% 6.3% 5.4% 2.9% 1.0%
Peter Foley 17.8% 16.0% 14.4% 11.7% 11.9% 9.4% 7.2% 5.1% 2.8% 1.6% 1.4% 0.6% 0.1%
Gavin Sanborn 4.9% 5.4% 4.0% 6.1% 5.9% 5.8% 7.6% 8.3% 10.6% 10.5% 11.3% 11.2% 8.4%
Olivia Lowthian 8.8% 6.9% 9.4% 7.6% 9.9% 8.5% 7.2% 8.5% 9.9% 8.9% 5.2% 6.2% 3.0%
Duncan Craine 8.3% 10.5% 10.2% 9.7% 9.7% 8.8% 10.4% 9.7% 7.1% 6.6% 4.3% 3.3% 1.4%
Sam Harris 2.2% 3.1% 2.9% 3.7% 4.5% 4.8% 5.4% 6.3% 6.9% 10.1% 13.3% 18.8% 18.0%
Nathaniel Hartwell 2.7% 2.9% 2.6% 3.5% 4.7% 5.0% 6.2% 6.5% 8.5% 9.3% 14.5% 16.4% 17.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.