Race 4A

women-regis-bowl

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Alexandra Arntsen 7.4% 6.5% 7.3% 8.6% 7.7% 8.4% 8.5% 9.0% 9.3% 10.3% 9.9% 5.5% 1.6%
Emily Billing 9.6% 11.1% 10.4% 10.0% 10.8% 10.6% 8.2% 8.4% 6.8% 7.7% 3.3% 2.3% 0.8%
Jessica Claflin 6.1% 8.0% 9.0% 9.6% 10.7% 8.3% 9.3% 9.1% 10.4% 7.5% 5.9% 5.2% 0.9%
Amy Hawkins 19.5% 18.9% 14.2% 11.5% 9.1% 8.8% 6.8% 5.9% 2.8% 1.2% 1.0% 0.1% 0.2%
Emily McNeil 4.4% 3.8% 3.7% 4.9% 6.2% 6.3% 6.2% 6.3% 7.5% 11.2% 13.7% 18.8% 7.0%
Kelsey Wheeler 9.1% 10.4% 10.7% 9.3% 9.4% 10.4% 9.6% 7.2% 8.2% 6.5% 4.8% 4.1% 0.3%
Katii Gullick 9.4% 7.7% 8.2% 7.8% 7.8% 8.8% 9.7% 9.0% 8.9% 7.9% 8.4% 5.3% 1.1%
Elizabeth Glivinski 5.9% 7.3% 6.4% 6.9% 7.2% 8.6% 9.1% 7.9% 10.6% 10.0% 9.2% 9.3% 1.6%
Caitlin Watson 5.1% 5.3% 4.7% 5.9% 6.3% 6.9% 7.9% 8.8% 10.5% 10.7% 10.0% 13.7% 4.2%
Natalie Salk 13.7% 11.7% 13.2% 12.0% 9.7% 7.8% 8.6% 8.0% 5.0% 4.4% 3.7% 1.9% 0.3%
Devon Rohde 4.2% 3.9% 5.9% 6.3% 6.1% 7.2% 7.0% 9.2% 9.7% 9.3% 13.3% 12.3% 5.6%
Abby Preston 5.0% 5.0% 5.7% 6.4% 8.1% 6.3% 8.0% 9.6% 8.4% 10.9% 12.4% 11.2% 3.0%
Brooke Doyon 0.6% 0.4% 0.6% 0.8% 0.9% 1.6% 1.1% 1.6% 1.9% 2.4% 4.4% 10.3% 73.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.