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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.85+2.26vs Predicted
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2George Washington University0.93+2.97vs Predicted
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3Fordham University1.13+2.59vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.22+0.05vs Predicted
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5Boston University0.37+1.23vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University0.65+0.54vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College0.52+0.15vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida0.99-3.04vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont-0.13-1.78vs Predicted
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10Tufts University0.96-4.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.26Brown University1.8524.3%1st Place
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4.97George Washington University0.9311.2%1st Place
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5.59Fordham University1.138.6%1st Place
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4.05Northeastern University1.2215.4%1st Place
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6.23Boston University0.375.9%1st Place
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6.54Christopher Newport University0.654.9%1st Place
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7.15Connecticut College0.523.6%1st Place
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4.96University of South Florida0.9911.1%1st Place
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7.22University of Vermont-0.134.5%1st Place
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5.04Tufts University0.9610.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
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Laura Hamilton | 24.3% | 20.1% | 15.8% | 13.9% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
Avery Canavan | 11.2% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 6.8% | 4.1% |
Elizabeth Cutler | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 12.2% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 11.0% | 7.0% |
Eva Ermlich | 15.4% | 16.0% | 14.7% | 13.5% | 12.8% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
Lucy Paskoff | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 11.8% | 12.6% | 14.3% | 12.6% |
Grace Watlington | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 12.4% | 13.2% | 15.2% | 15.7% |
Izzy Wu-Karr | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 17.4% | 25.4% |
Kalea Woodard | 11.1% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 11.9% | 12.5% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 3.9% |
Elizabeth Amelotte | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 13.0% | 17.5% | 26.5% |
Marina Garrido | 10.5% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 11.7% | 11.4% | 12.2% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 6.9% | 4.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.