Race 9A

vietor

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Jack Crager 9.1% 8.7% 9.5% 8.6% 10.1% 8.8% 9.4% 9.4% 8.8% 6.7% 5.2% 4.6% 1.1%
Gavin Hudson 11.5% 12.7% 11.2% 10.5% 10.9% 9.5% 9.0% 7.6% 6.7% 5.1% 2.9% 2.0% 0.4%
Skylor Sweet 8.3% 10.6% 11.4% 9.8% 9.6% 8.8% 9.8% 10.0% 7.6% 5.9% 4.9% 2.4% 0.9%
Gus Macaulay 12.0% 10.5% 11.2% 10.2% 9.4% 10.9% 7.6% 8.9% 6.9% 5.9% 4.0% 1.9% 0.6%
Olivia Lowthian 8.1% 9.0% 7.3% 9.5% 9.1% 7.5% 8.2% 9.5% 10.3% 7.4% 7.6% 4.6% 1.9%
Everett Botwinick 10.4% 9.1% 10.5% 10.0% 9.5% 9.6% 10.0% 7.0% 7.0% 6.8% 5.8% 3.8% 0.5%
Peter Foley 17.3% 15.4% 14.1% 12.4% 10.5% 8.8% 6.7% 5.9% 4.2% 2.9% 1.0% 0.7% 0.1%
David Vinogradov 6.5% 7.0% 7.4% 7.4% 7.0% 9.5% 8.8% 7.6% 11.4% 9.9% 8.0% 6.7% 2.8%
Nathaniel Hartwell 3.1% 3.2% 3.0% 4.0% 4.3% 5.2% 4.7% 6.4% 7.1% 9.7% 14.3% 17.0% 18.0%
Gavin Sanborn 5.3% 4.5% 5.5% 5.4% 6.3% 7.7% 7.9% 7.5% 8.8% 11.5% 11.4% 10.0% 8.2%
Pierson Falk 4.7% 4.3% 5.3% 7.0% 7.1% 6.1% 9.0% 8.1% 9.9% 11.2% 11.3% 10.2% 5.8%
Tiernan O'Kane 1.1% 2.0% 1.5% 1.9% 2.1% 3.1% 3.1% 4.8% 4.9% 7.1% 9.0% 17.2% 42.2%
Sam Harris 2.6% 3.0% 2.1% 3.3% 4.1% 4.5% 5.8% 7.3% 6.4% 9.9% 14.6% 18.9% 17.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.