Race 12A

vietor

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Gus Macaulay 10.8% 10.8% 11.2% 11.6% 8.6% 9.4% 10.7% 8.0% 7.1% 5.9% 3.4% 2.2% 0.3%
Olivia Lowthian 6.7% 7.8% 9.1% 7.3% 9.1% 9.3% 8.9% 9.3% 10.4% 7.7% 7.7% 4.5% 2.2%
Peter Foley 15.8% 15.3% 15.5% 11.7% 11.2% 8.8% 7.0% 4.9% 5.4% 2.3% 1.6% 0.3% 0.2%
Duncan Craine 9.2% 7.1% 9.5% 10.1% 9.5% 8.7% 9.8% 8.5% 9.1% 7.4% 6.6% 3.4% 1.1%
Adrian Winkelman 15.5% 15.2% 13.1% 10.2% 10.7% 10.4% 8.3% 6.2% 3.5% 3.9% 1.5% 1.5% 0.0%
Gavin Sanborn 5.2% 4.9% 4.9% 5.9% 6.2% 6.3% 7.6% 8.3% 10.4% 11.4% 11.3% 10.9% 6.7%
Jack Crager 10.2% 8.6% 7.7% 10.6% 9.2% 8.0% 9.5% 10.9% 7.9% 7.3% 5.3% 3.5% 1.3%
Nathaniel Hartwell 2.5% 3.7% 3.6% 4.8% 3.8% 4.3% 5.8% 7.4% 8.3% 9.5% 13.0% 18.4% 14.9%
Sam Harris 2.7% 3.5% 2.9% 3.8% 3.9% 4.9% 5.7% 5.8% 6.7% 11.1% 14.0% 17.4% 17.6%
David Vinogradov 7.4% 5.4% 6.5% 8.2% 8.7% 8.6% 8.0% 9.8% 7.7% 10.1% 8.6% 7.0% 4.0%
Everett Botwinick 8.6% 11.6% 9.5% 9.7% 10.4% 10.9% 8.4% 9.9% 7.4% 5.5% 4.3% 2.4% 1.4%
Pierson Falk 4.1% 4.6% 4.3% 5.0% 6.8% 6.6% 7.8% 7.6% 10.0% 10.2% 12.3% 11.4% 9.3%
Tiernan O'Kane 1.3% 1.5% 2.2% 1.1% 1.9% 3.8% 2.5% 3.4% 6.1% 7.7% 10.4% 17.1% 41.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.