Race 13A

vietor

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Adrian Winkelman 16.2% 12.3% 12.7% 11.6% 12.4% 8.7% 8.4% 6.9% 5.0% 2.9% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1%
Olivia Lowthian 6.4% 7.4% 9.5% 8.2% 7.3% 9.7% 9.4% 9.8% 8.9% 9.0% 7.4% 5.1% 1.9%
Everett Botwinick 8.2% 9.4% 10.8% 10.3% 9.4% 9.6% 9.5% 8.9% 7.0% 7.6% 5.5% 2.8% 1.0%
Gus Macaulay 10.9% 10.4% 10.5% 11.2% 9.8% 10.2% 9.1% 8.3% 7.5% 5.9% 4.1% 1.6% 0.5%
Duncan Craine 9.1% 9.5% 9.1% 8.9% 9.5% 9.7% 8.1% 8.4% 10.3% 7.5% 4.9% 2.9% 2.1%
Peter Foley 16.2% 18.2% 13.0% 11.6% 10.8% 8.9% 7.0% 4.8% 4.8% 2.9% 1.2% 0.6% 0.0%
Gavin Sanborn 5.8% 5.6% 5.1% 5.9% 6.1% 6.3% 7.9% 7.7% 9.5% 10.7% 13.6% 9.4% 6.4%
Nathaniel Hartwell 2.7% 3.9% 3.8% 3.4% 3.7% 4.1% 6.1% 7.4% 8.0% 10.7% 11.4% 19.2% 15.6%
Tiernan O'Kane 1.8% 1.7% 2.3% 1.9% 3.2% 2.4% 4.1% 3.0% 4.8% 5.5% 11.4% 16.1% 41.8%
Jack Crager 9.6% 7.7% 8.5% 10.8% 9.7% 9.2% 8.2% 8.5% 8.5% 7.7% 5.7% 4.3% 1.6%
David Vinogradov 6.2% 7.1% 7.8% 7.2% 8.0% 8.8% 10.3% 9.7% 8.6% 10.4% 7.5% 4.8% 3.6%
Pierson Falk 4.4% 4.3% 3.7% 5.7% 6.9% 7.3% 6.5% 8.4% 10.0% 9.6% 12.8% 12.5% 7.9%
Sam Harris 2.5% 2.5% 3.2% 3.3% 3.2% 5.1% 5.4% 8.2% 7.1% 9.6% 12.3% 20.1% 17.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.