Race 1B

vietor

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Courtland Doyle 14.7% 14.7% 14.0% 11.1% 11.2% 10.0% 8.4% 6.4% 4.5% 2.8% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0%
Joshua Dillon 13.6% 12.1% 13.1% 12.7% 10.2% 9.8% 7.2% 7.1% 6.5% 4.2% 2.9% 0.6% 0.0%
Ethan Burt 11.2% 10.9% 13.6% 8.2% 11.6% 9.7% 10.6% 8.7% 6.4% 5.2% 2.6% 1.3% 0.0%
Carter Weatherilt 4.8% 5.3% 5.8% 6.7% 7.0% 8.3% 7.9% 8.7% 11.6% 11.1% 12.3% 9.5% 1.0%
Cameron Silvers 8.2% 9.2% 8.1% 9.2% 9.0% 8.2% 9.7% 9.3% 10.8% 7.5% 7.3% 3.3% 0.2%
Liam Gronda 7.1% 7.3% 6.5% 9.1% 9.0% 7.9% 9.3% 9.8% 9.4% 10.6% 8.9% 4.5% 0.6%
Tomas Riccio 13.0% 11.6% 10.6% 10.6% 11.0% 10.7% 7.9% 8.0% 6.8% 5.8% 2.6% 1.3% 0.1%
Jakub Fuja 11.8% 14.0% 11.4% 10.7% 10.1% 11.5% 10.7% 7.2% 5.0% 4.5% 2.2% 0.9% 0.0%
Emil Tullberg 6.6% 6.7% 5.6% 7.7% 8.8% 8.1% 9.3% 10.9% 9.3% 10.8% 8.6% 6.8% 0.8%
Jeremy Lunati 2.9% 2.7% 3.5% 3.7% 3.2% 4.7% 5.9% 7.0% 9.3% 10.6% 18.4% 23.1% 5.0%
Marc Leyk 3.6% 3.0% 4.9% 7.1% 5.0% 6.0% 7.1% 8.9% 11.2% 12.1% 14.2% 14.0% 2.9%
Brooklyn Geary 0.2% 0.2% 0.5% 0.2% 0.3% 0.4% 0.7% 0.8% 0.9% 2.0% 2.7% 7.4% 83.7%
James Frady 2.3% 2.3% 2.4% 3.0% 3.6% 4.7% 5.3% 7.2% 8.3% 12.8% 15.4% 27.0% 5.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.