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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.21+4.22vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont1.22+3.20vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.48+1.52vs Predicted
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4Florida State University0.42+3.47vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island0.81+1.18vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College0.66+0.64vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University1.29-2.06vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.37-3.22vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University0.62-2.08vs Predicted
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10SUNY Maritime College-0.23-0.89vs Predicted
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11University of New Hampshire-0.26-1.99vs Predicted
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12Webb Institute0.07-3.51vs Predicted
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13University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.52-0.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.22U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.210.1%1st Place
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5.2University of Vermont1.220.1%1st Place
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4.52Tufts University1.480.1%1st Place
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7.47Florida State University0.420.0%1st Place
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6.18University of Rhode Island0.810.1%1st Place
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6.64Connecticut College0.660.1%1st Place
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4.94Roger Williams University1.290.1%1st Place
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4.78Northeastern University1.370.1%1st Place
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6.92Salve Regina University0.620.1%1st Place
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9.11SUNY Maritime College-0.230.0%1st Place
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9.01University of New Hampshire-0.260.0%1st Place
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8.49Webb Institute0.070.0%1st Place
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12.53University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tomas Riccio | 11.1% | 11.3% | 12.7% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Burt | 11.5% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Courtland Doyle | 14.3% | 14.1% | 14.3% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Carter Weatherilt | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 12.5% | 8.9% | 1.1% |
| Cameron Silvers | 8.6% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 11.4% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 3.3% | 0.3% |
| Liam Gronda | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 0.4% |
| Jakub Fuja | 13.9% | 11.4% | 13.3% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Joshua Dillon | 13.0% | 14.3% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Emil Tullberg | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 6.2% | 1.2% |
| Jeremy Lunati | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 9.8% | 12.1% | 15.1% | 23.9% | 6.1% |
| James Frady | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 10.1% | 12.2% | 15.7% | 23.4% | 4.4% |
| Marc Leyk | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 13.5% | 17.7% | 16.5% | 2.3% |
| Brooklyn Geary | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 7.4% | 83.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.