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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.21+4.22vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.48+2.50vs Predicted
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3Florida State University0.42+4.49vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont1.22+1.18vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.37-0.30vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College0.66+0.69vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University1.29-2.06vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University0.62-1.21vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island0.81-2.60vs Predicted
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10University of New Hampshire-0.26-0.84vs Predicted
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11Webb Institute0.07-2.83vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College-0.23-2.76vs Predicted
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13University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.52-0.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.22U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.210.1%1st Place
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4.5Tufts University1.480.2%1st Place
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7.49Florida State University0.420.0%1st Place
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5.18University of Vermont1.220.1%1st Place
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4.7Northeastern University1.370.1%1st Place
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6.69Connecticut College0.660.1%1st Place
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4.94Roger Williams University1.290.1%1st Place
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6.79Salve Regina University0.620.1%1st Place
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6.4University of Rhode Island0.810.1%1st Place
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9.16University of New Hampshire-0.260.0%1st Place
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8.17Webb Institute0.070.0%1st Place
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9.24SUNY Maritime College-0.230.0%1st Place
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12.53University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tomas Riccio | 11.2% | 11.9% | 11.4% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Courtland Doyle | 15.1% | 14.0% | 12.8% | 14.5% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Carter Weatherilt | 3.9% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 12.0% | 12.8% | 8.2% | 0.8% |
| Ethan Burt | 12.0% | 11.0% | 12.1% | 11.6% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Joshua Dillon | 14.4% | 14.0% | 12.7% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Liam Gronda | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 5.3% | 0.5% |
| Jakub Fuja | 14.1% | 12.7% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 12.1% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Emil Tullberg | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 0.4% |
| Cameron Silvers | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| James Frady | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 11.9% | 15.0% | 25.5% | 5.9% |
| Marc Leyk | 3.8% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 12.4% | 15.1% | 13.9% | 2.3% |
| Jeremy Lunati | 1.8% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 11.3% | 16.8% | 26.9% | 4.8% |
| Brooklyn Geary | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 7.2% | 84.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.