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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Tomas Riccio 11.2% 11.9% 11.4% 9.9% 10.9% 10.6% 9.7% 8.3% 7.1% 4.2% 3.2% 1.4% 0.2%
Courtland Doyle 15.1% 14.0% 12.8% 14.5% 10.2% 9.8% 6.7% 6.2% 5.2% 3.1% 2.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Carter Weatherilt 3.9% 4.3% 7.0% 6.8% 7.8% 6.6% 9.3% 9.6% 10.9% 12.0% 12.8% 8.2% 0.8%
Ethan Burt 12.0% 11.0% 12.1% 11.6% 9.0% 10.6% 8.8% 7.7% 8.0% 5.2% 3.1% 0.7% 0.2%
Joshua Dillon 14.4% 14.0% 12.7% 10.1% 10.8% 11.0% 7.9% 7.5% 4.3% 5.2% 1.7% 0.4% 0.0%
Liam Gronda 6.7% 7.1% 7.6% 7.4% 8.8% 7.8% 10.7% 9.8% 10.0% 9.8% 8.5% 5.3% 0.5%
Jakub Fuja 14.1% 12.7% 10.5% 10.2% 12.1% 10.3% 8.2% 6.8% 7.1% 4.5% 2.9% 0.6% 0.0%
Emil Tullberg 6.6% 7.8% 6.3% 7.1% 7.2% 9.6% 9.6% 10.3% 11.0% 9.5% 8.0% 6.6% 0.4%
Cameron Silvers 7.3% 7.1% 8.2% 9.9% 7.8% 10.4% 9.7% 9.6% 8.7% 9.1% 8.2% 3.1% 0.9%
James Frady 2.8% 3.1% 3.4% 3.4% 3.9% 3.9% 5.2% 7.2% 8.8% 11.9% 15.0% 25.5% 5.9%
Marc Leyk 3.8% 3.4% 5.0% 5.8% 6.6% 4.2% 7.6% 9.3% 10.6% 12.4% 15.1% 13.9% 2.3%
Jeremy Lunati 1.8% 3.4% 2.7% 3.3% 4.2% 4.6% 6.1% 7.2% 6.9% 11.3% 16.8% 26.9% 4.8%
Brooklyn Geary 0.3% 0.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.7% 0.6% 0.5% 0.5% 1.4% 1.8% 2.5% 7.2% 84.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.