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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.21+4.20vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont1.22+3.18vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University0.62+3.93vs Predicted
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4Florida State University0.42+3.43vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.37-0.27vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College0.66+0.69vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.48-2.55vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University1.29-3.03vs Predicted
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9University of New Hampshire-0.26+0.20vs Predicted
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10SUNY Maritime College-0.23-0.93vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island0.81-4.88vs Predicted
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12Webb Institute0.07-3.52vs Predicted
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13University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.52-0.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.2U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.210.1%1st Place
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5.18University of Vermont1.220.1%1st Place
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6.93Salve Regina University0.620.0%1st Place
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7.43Florida State University0.420.1%1st Place
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4.73Northeastern University1.370.1%1st Place
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6.69Connecticut College0.660.1%1st Place
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4.45Tufts University1.480.2%1st Place
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4.97Roger Williams University1.290.1%1st Place
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9.2University of New Hampshire-0.260.0%1st Place
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9.07SUNY Maritime College-0.230.0%1st Place
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6.12University of Rhode Island0.810.1%1st Place
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8.48Webb Institute0.070.0%1st Place
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12.54University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tomas Riccio | 11.0% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Burt | 12.3% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 12.8% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Emil Tullberg | 4.7% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 5.1% | 0.7% |
| Carter Weatherilt | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 12.7% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 0.7% |
| Joshua Dillon | 14.5% | 14.3% | 12.0% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Liam Gronda | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 5.1% | 0.5% |
| Courtland Doyle | 16.4% | 14.3% | 12.2% | 13.0% | 11.2% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jakub Fuja | 12.2% | 11.2% | 13.8% | 11.5% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| James Frady | 2.2% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 9.1% | 12.4% | 17.3% | 25.2% | 5.3% |
| Jeremy Lunati | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 11.9% | 15.2% | 23.5% | 5.9% |
| Cameron Silvers | 7.4% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 0.5% |
| Marc Leyk | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 13.1% | 17.3% | 17.1% | 2.3% |
| Brooklyn Geary | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 6.9% | 84.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.