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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont1.22+4.32vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.48+2.66vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College1.23+2.33vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island0.81+2.49vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.37-0.14vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University1.29-0.93vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.21-1.70vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire-0.26+1.23vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University0.62-1.95vs Predicted
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10SUNY Maritime College-0.23-0.81vs Predicted
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11Florida State University0.42-3.65vs Predicted
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12Webb Institute0.07-3.40vs Predicted
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13University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.52-0.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.32University of Vermont1.220.1%1st Place
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4.66Tufts University1.480.1%1st Place
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5.33Connecticut College1.230.1%1st Place
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6.49University of Rhode Island0.810.1%1st Place
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4.86Northeastern University1.370.1%1st Place
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5.07Roger Williams University1.290.1%1st Place
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5.3U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.210.1%1st Place
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9.23University of New Hampshire-0.260.0%1st Place
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7.05Salve Regina University0.620.1%1st Place
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9.19SUNY Maritime College-0.230.0%1st Place
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7.35Florida State University0.420.0%1st Place
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8.6Webb Institute0.070.0%1st Place
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12.56University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethan Burt | 10.8% | 10.4% | 13.1% | 7.7% | 12.1% | 11.5% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Courtland Doyle | 14.6% | 13.1% | 12.5% | 13.2% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| William Hurd | 9.9% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Cameron Silvers | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 3.5% | 0.4% |
| Joshua Dillon | 13.4% | 14.4% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Jakub Fuja | 12.3% | 12.0% | 12.3% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Tomas Riccio | 12.6% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| James Frady | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 12.4% | 15.7% | 28.0% | 3.6% |
| Emil Tullberg | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 6.6% | 0.9% |
| Jeremy Lunati | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 16.0% | 24.4% | 6.2% |
| Carter Weatherilt | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 12.4% | 12.5% | 6.6% | 1.0% |
| Marc Leyk | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 13.4% | 17.2% | 17.8% | 2.6% |
| Brooklyn Geary | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 7.3% | 84.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.