Race 1B

wick-womens-event

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Julia Shannon-Grillo 8.5% 8.8% 10.5% 10.5% 12.0% 10.4% 11.2% 9.7% 10.2% 6.2% 1.9%
Lucia Loosbrock 15.2% 14.8% 13.6% 13.6% 10.4% 10.4% 8.5% 6.9% 4.0% 2.3% 0.4%
Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia 16.4% 15.2% 14.0% 11.9% 11.0% 10.4% 8.3% 6.2% 4.3% 1.8% 0.5%
Laura Smith 6.0% 8.4% 9.7% 9.1% 8.6% 8.8% 11.1% 11.6% 11.2% 10.8% 4.9%
Lizzie Cochran 11.9% 11.9% 11.2% 10.7% 11.2% 10.9% 9.6% 8.5% 8.2% 4.6% 1.4%
Marina Dreyfuss 5.9% 7.8% 6.9% 7.5% 8.0% 9.3% 9.8% 11.9% 12.3% 13.4% 7.0%
Sidney Moyer 14.4% 14.0% 12.4% 12.3% 12.5% 11.0% 8.9% 6.7% 5.3% 2.1% 0.4%
Arantxa Argibay 6.3% 5.1% 6.8% 6.0% 7.6% 7.4% 8.8% 11.3% 13.8% 18.1% 8.8%
Lilly Saffer 5.6% 4.8% 5.8% 6.2% 7.0% 7.6% 8.9% 10.9% 13.1% 19.0% 11.1%
Audrey Commerford 8.2% 8.1% 7.8% 10.2% 9.3% 10.8% 11.7% 11.4% 10.3% 8.4% 3.9%
Danielle Bogacheva 1.5% 1.2% 1.6% 2.0% 2.4% 2.8% 3.1% 4.8% 7.3% 13.5% 59.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.