Race 5A

women-regis-bowl

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

23.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Emily Billing 11.0% 9.8% 11.1% 10.7% 9.8% 8.5% 10.5% 9.0% 6.6% 6.4% 3.6% 2.8% 0.2%
Kelsey Wheeler 7.6% 11.6% 8.8% 10.8% 9.1% 10.2% 9.1% 8.0% 9.3% 6.5% 4.6% 3.8% 0.6%
Natalie Salk 11.4% 12.6% 13.5% 10.8% 10.4% 10.0% 9.5% 6.7% 6.7% 4.7% 2.5% 1.0% 0.2%
Jessica Claflin 7.7% 7.6% 8.2% 10.6% 9.4% 8.1% 8.8% 9.1% 8.5% 9.6% 7.3% 4.6% 0.5%
Alexandra Arntsen 7.3% 7.3% 8.4% 8.0% 9.6% 7.9% 7.3% 9.8% 8.9% 9.6% 7.8% 7.2% 0.9%
Emily McNeil 3.7% 4.0% 3.7% 4.7% 4.2% 6.6% 6.7% 7.3% 9.6% 10.1% 13.7% 20.8% 4.9%
Caitlin Watson 5.7% 5.6% 7.0% 5.2% 5.8% 7.4% 7.8% 8.6% 9.0% 10.9% 12.3% 12.9% 1.8%
Amy Hawkins 21.6% 16.8% 14.0% 12.3% 10.7% 8.7% 6.7% 4.1% 2.2% 1.4% 1.1% 0.4% 0.0%
Katii Gullick 8.2% 7.5% 7.0% 8.3% 9.2% 8.8% 8.5% 10.3% 9.0% 7.4% 8.0% 6.9% 0.9%
Elizabeth Glivinski 6.8% 6.5% 7.1% 5.4% 9.2% 8.1% 9.0% 7.8% 9.7% 7.8% 12.0% 8.8% 1.8%
Abby Preston 5.2% 5.6% 6.8% 8.3% 5.8% 7.6% 9.5% 9.7% 10.4% 11.0% 9.3% 8.9% 1.9%
Devon Rohde 3.4% 4.7% 4.0% 4.8% 6.1% 7.1% 5.8% 8.3% 8.8% 12.2% 14.9% 16.3% 3.6%
Lyndsay Stockwell 0.4% 0.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.7% 1.0% 0.8% 1.3% 1.3% 2.4% 2.9% 5.6% 82.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.