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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College1.23+4.35vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.29+3.14vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.21+2.39vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.37+0.95vs Predicted
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5Florida State University0.42+2.45vs Predicted
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6Webb Institute0.07+2.37vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University0.62-0.10vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire-0.26+1.17vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont1.22-3.60vs Predicted
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10SUNY Maritime College-0.23-0.83vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.48-6.51vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island0.81-5.33vs Predicted
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13University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.52-0.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.35Connecticut College1.230.1%1st Place
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5.14Roger Williams University1.290.1%1st Place
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5.39U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.210.1%1st Place
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4.95Northeastern University1.370.1%1st Place
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7.45Florida State University0.420.1%1st Place
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8.37Webb Institute0.070.0%1st Place
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6.9Salve Regina University0.620.1%1st Place
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9.17University of New Hampshire-0.260.0%1st Place
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5.4University of Vermont1.220.1%1st Place
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9.17SUNY Maritime College-0.230.0%1st Place
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4.49Tufts University1.480.2%1st Place
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6.67University of Rhode Island0.810.1%1st Place
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12.55University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hurd | 10.7% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Jakub Fuja | 11.3% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 12.8% | 11.6% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Tomas Riccio | 9.6% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Joshua Dillon | 13.4% | 11.2% | 12.4% | 11.4% | 9.3% | 11.9% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Carter Weatherilt | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 12.7% | 12.2% | 9.1% | 1.3% |
| Marc Leyk | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 10.7% | 13.0% | 15.5% | 16.9% | 1.9% |
| Emil Tullberg | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 5.5% | 0.9% |
| James Frady | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 12.1% | 17.6% | 26.0% | 3.5% |
| Ethan Burt | 10.8% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Jeremy Lunati | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 16.6% | 24.5% | 6.2% |
| Courtland Doyle | 15.7% | 13.8% | 13.4% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 11.0% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Silvers | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 12.3% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 0.4% |
| Brooklyn Geary | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 3.4% | 5.9% | 85.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.