← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
William Hurd 10.7% 11.2% 11.1% 10.7% 9.6% 10.6% 9.4% 9.5% 6.2% 6.0% 3.6% 1.2% 0.2%
Jakub Fuja 11.3% 11.1% 11.2% 12.8% 11.6% 9.5% 9.5% 7.8% 6.2% 4.4% 3.2% 1.4% 0.0%
Tomas Riccio 9.6% 11.8% 10.8% 11.0% 10.0% 8.9% 10.8% 9.7% 7.1% 5.5% 3.5% 1.1% 0.2%
Joshua Dillon 13.4% 11.2% 12.4% 11.4% 9.3% 11.9% 9.2% 7.5% 7.1% 3.4% 2.1% 1.1% 0.0%
Carter Weatherilt 5.5% 5.3% 5.5% 7.2% 7.8% 6.2% 8.4% 8.4% 10.4% 12.7% 12.2% 9.1% 1.3%
Marc Leyk 4.1% 4.0% 3.4% 3.7% 5.9% 7.1% 6.8% 7.0% 10.7% 13.0% 15.5% 16.9% 1.9%
Emil Tullberg 6.9% 7.1% 7.3% 6.4% 6.5% 9.2% 8.0% 10.8% 10.2% 11.3% 9.9% 5.5% 0.9%
James Frady 2.5% 3.2% 3.5% 3.1% 3.8% 3.9% 4.5% 7.6% 8.7% 12.1% 17.6% 26.0% 3.5%
Ethan Burt 10.8% 11.4% 10.2% 10.1% 11.6% 8.9% 10.4% 7.4% 7.5% 5.8% 4.4% 1.3% 0.2%
Jeremy Lunati 2.8% 2.8% 3.1% 3.6% 3.9% 3.7% 5.8% 7.6% 9.5% 9.9% 16.6% 24.5% 6.2%
Courtland Doyle 15.7% 13.8% 13.4% 11.2% 11.7% 11.0% 7.5% 5.7% 5.4% 2.3% 1.3% 1.0% 0.0%
Cameron Silvers 6.5% 6.6% 8.0% 8.7% 7.8% 8.8% 9.1% 10.0% 10.1% 12.3% 6.7% 5.0% 0.4%
Brooklyn Geary 0.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.1% 0.5% 0.3% 0.6% 1.0% 0.9% 1.3% 3.4% 5.9% 85.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.