Race 7B

vietor

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
William Hurd 11.2% 11.0% 11.4% 11.1% 10.8% 10.7% 9.9% 6.9% 7.2% 5.0% 3.4% 1.4% 0.0%
Jakub Fuja 12.4% 10.9% 12.2% 11.0% 11.4% 10.1% 9.3% 8.1% 6.8% 4.0% 2.9% 0.9% 0.0%
Tomas Riccio 9.2% 12.5% 11.6% 11.0% 10.1% 9.9% 9.8% 10.0% 6.3% 5.5% 3.1% 0.8% 0.2%
Kamron Kaiser 5.2% 4.7% 6.4% 3.6% 8.1% 7.0% 11.2% 8.5% 10.2% 12.1% 11.5% 10.0% 1.5%
Emil Tullberg 6.5% 7.3% 7.0% 9.4% 6.7% 8.5% 7.6% 10.2% 10.6% 9.9% 10.3% 5.6% 0.4%
Marc Leyk 4.3% 3.1% 5.7% 3.6% 4.7% 7.2% 6.3% 8.3% 9.9% 13.7% 14.9% 15.5% 2.8%
Charles Wilkinson 9.5% 9.5% 7.6% 9.0% 8.2% 10.7% 9.3% 8.1% 9.5% 10.0% 5.0% 3.1% 0.5%
Cameron Silvers 6.8% 8.0% 8.6% 9.5% 7.4% 10.0% 9.1% 10.5% 10.2% 8.9% 6.6% 4.2% 0.2%
Luke Barker 3.3% 3.9% 2.2% 4.8% 4.5% 4.7% 6.3% 7.3% 9.1% 13.0% 15.7% 21.8% 3.4%
Ethan Burt 13.2% 9.8% 12.4% 11.4% 11.2% 7.6% 8.3% 8.1% 7.8% 4.5% 4.0% 1.6% 0.1%
Courtland Doyle 16.2% 15.7% 12.4% 12.8% 11.1% 8.7% 7.4% 6.6% 4.0% 2.6% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
James Frady 1.9% 3.2% 2.4% 2.7% 5.3% 4.7% 4.6% 6.8% 7.3% 9.0% 18.5% 28.5% 5.1%
Brooklyn Geary 0.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.9% 0.6% 1.1% 1.8% 2.2% 6.1% 85.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.