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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.21+4.24vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.48+2.58vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University0.89+3.19vs Predicted
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4Webb Institute0.07+4.47vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont1.22+0.12vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island0.81+0.30vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University1.29-2.03vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College1.23-2.86vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University0.62-2.01vs Predicted
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10University of New Hampshire-0.26-0.80vs Predicted
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11Florida State University0.39-3.64vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College-0.06-3.12vs Predicted
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13University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.52-0.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.24U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.210.1%1st Place
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4.58Tufts University1.480.2%1st Place
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6.19Northeastern University0.890.1%1st Place
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8.47Webb Institute0.070.0%1st Place
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5.12University of Vermont1.220.1%1st Place
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6.3University of Rhode Island0.810.1%1st Place
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4.97Roger Williams University1.290.1%1st Place
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5.14Connecticut College1.230.1%1st Place
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6.99Salve Regina University0.620.1%1st Place
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9.2University of New Hampshire-0.260.0%1st Place
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7.36Florida State University0.390.0%1st Place
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8.88SUNY Maritime College-0.060.0%1st Place
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12.56University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tomas Riccio | 10.5% | 12.4% | 11.7% | 9.6% | 11.8% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Courtland Doyle | 15.7% | 13.3% | 12.3% | 13.9% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Charles Wilkinson | 7.2% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 2.7% | 0.3% |
| Marc Leyk | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 15.3% | 18.0% | 2.5% |
| Ethan Burt | 12.2% | 13.2% | 11.9% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Cameron Silvers | 9.1% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 0.3% |
| Jakub Fuja | 14.1% | 12.0% | 10.4% | 12.5% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| William Hurd | 11.5% | 11.4% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Emil Tullberg | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 1.2% |
| James Frady | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 11.7% | 14.8% | 26.1% | 6.3% |
| Kamron Kaiser | 4.7% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 12.5% | 12.0% | 7.1% | 1.3% |
| Luke Barker | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 3.1% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 12.6% | 19.1% | 21.1% | 3.5% |
| Brooklyn Geary | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 7.2% | 84.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.