← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Northeastern University0.89+5.14vs Predicted
-
2Tufts University1.48+2.51vs Predicted
-
3University of Rhode Island0.81+3.39vs Predicted
-
4University of Vermont1.22+1.18vs Predicted
-
5Connecticut College1.23+0.12vs Predicted
-
6Florida State University0.39+1.42vs Predicted
-
7Roger Williams University1.29-2.05vs Predicted
-
8Webb Institute0.07+0.30vs Predicted
-
9Salve Regina University0.62-2.06vs Predicted
-
10U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.21-4.82vs Predicted
-
11University of New Hampshire-0.26-1.97vs Predicted
-
12SUNY Maritime College-0.23-2.73vs Predicted
-
13University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.52-0.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.14Northeastern University0.890.1%1st Place
-
4.51Tufts University1.480.1%1st Place
-
6.39University of Rhode Island0.810.1%1st Place
-
5.18University of Vermont1.220.1%1st Place
-
5.12Connecticut College1.230.1%1st Place
-
7.42Florida State University0.390.1%1st Place
-
4.95Roger Williams University1.290.1%1st Place
-
8.3Webb Institute0.070.0%1st Place
-
6.94Salve Regina University0.620.1%1st Place
-
5.18U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.210.1%1st Place
-
9.03University of New Hampshire-0.260.0%1st Place
-
9.27SUNY Maritime College-0.230.0%1st Place
-
12.55University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Wilkinson | 8.1% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 2.9% | 0.3% |
| Courtland Doyle | 14.6% | 14.5% | 13.6% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Silvers | 6.1% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 0.2% |
| Ethan Burt | 11.8% | 11.4% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| William Hurd | 12.7% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Kamron Kaiser | 5.5% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 10.9% | 12.1% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 0.9% |
| Jakub Fuja | 13.9% | 13.2% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Marc Leyk | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 13.3% | 16.1% | 16.5% | 1.4% |
| Emil Tullberg | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 6.1% | 1.0% |
| Tomas Riccio | 12.3% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 0.1% |
| James Frady | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 12.2% | 16.5% | 22.6% | 4.9% |
| Jeremy Lunati | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 11.6% | 17.2% | 26.9% | 4.8% |
| Brooklyn Geary | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 5.7% | 86.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.