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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College1.50+3.69vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.37+3.05vs Predicted
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3Webb Institute0.07+5.64vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University1.29+1.25vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.48-0.39vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont1.22-0.69vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island0.81-0.54vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire-0.26+1.28vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.21-3.48vs Predicted
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10SUNY Maritime College-0.06-1.15vs Predicted
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11Florida State University0.39-3.48vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University0.62-4.75vs Predicted
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13University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.52-0.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.69Connecticut College1.500.1%1st Place
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5.05Northeastern University1.370.1%1st Place
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8.64Webb Institute0.070.0%1st Place
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5.25Roger Williams University1.290.1%1st Place
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4.61Tufts University1.480.1%1st Place
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5.31University of Vermont1.220.1%1st Place
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6.46University of Rhode Island0.810.1%1st Place
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9.28University of New Hampshire-0.260.0%1st Place
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5.52U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.210.1%1st Place
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8.85SUNY Maritime College-0.060.0%1st Place
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7.52Florida State University0.390.0%1st Place
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7.25Salve Regina University0.620.1%1st Place
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12.57University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Scholz | 13.8% | 13.8% | 13.1% | 10.3% | 13.1% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Joshua Dillon | 12.0% | 11.4% | 12.0% | 12.5% | 11.6% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Marc Leyk | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 10.9% | 11.9% | 17.6% | 17.6% | 2.6% |
| Jakub Fuja | 11.8% | 9.7% | 12.1% | 11.5% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Courtland Doyle | 14.1% | 16.1% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Ethan Burt | 10.3% | 11.8% | 12.0% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Silvers | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 3.4% | 0.6% |
| James Frady | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 10.7% | 16.5% | 29.4% | 3.6% |
| Tomas Riccio | 10.6% | 9.1% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Luke Barker | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 12.3% | 14.7% | 21.7% | 4.9% |
| Kamron Kaiser | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 13.0% | 12.4% | 8.9% | 0.9% |
| Emil Tullberg | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 12.5% | 13.2% | 10.3% | 6.3% | 1.0% |
| Brooklyn Geary | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 6.5% | 85.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.