Race 11B

vietor

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Joshua Dillon 12.8% 10.6% 13.3% 11.4% 9.7% 10.1% 9.0% 8.9% 6.5% 4.1% 2.7% 0.9% 0.0%
Ethan Burt 10.5% 10.7% 10.4% 11.1% 10.9% 9.7% 8.7% 9.4% 7.5% 6.1% 3.4% 1.4% 0.2%
Courtland Doyle 12.4% 14.6% 13.3% 11.4% 10.7% 10.9% 8.8% 6.5% 6.0% 3.1% 1.8% 0.3% 0.2%
Carter Weatherilt 4.2% 5.2% 4.8% 6.2% 7.2% 6.8% 9.1% 8.3% 10.9% 12.0% 13.8% 10.5% 1.0%
Jakub Fuja 12.0% 13.1% 10.7% 10.0% 9.6% 10.0% 9.9% 8.4% 6.7% 5.5% 2.6% 1.3% 0.2%
Marc Leyk 3.9% 3.1% 3.9% 4.3% 5.0% 6.2% 6.8% 6.9% 10.5% 13.0% 16.5% 17.5% 2.4%
Tomas Riccio 12.6% 9.2% 10.4% 10.0% 10.1% 9.9% 9.5% 9.6% 6.7% 7.2% 3.1% 1.6% 0.1%
Cameron Silvers 7.0% 8.6% 7.0% 7.6% 8.6% 8.6% 10.1% 10.8% 11.0% 8.8% 7.0% 4.8% 0.1%
Henry Scholz 13.7% 13.2% 13.4% 11.2% 12.3% 8.6% 7.9% 6.7% 6.8% 4.0% 1.5% 0.6% 0.1%
Emil Tullberg 6.3% 5.9% 7.0% 7.6% 6.8% 9.8% 8.6% 9.3% 9.7% 11.2% 10.6% 6.2% 1.0%
Luke Barker 2.7% 2.8% 2.9% 5.7% 5.3% 4.6% 6.0% 8.2% 9.6% 13.0% 16.7% 18.9% 3.6%
James Frady 1.7% 2.6% 2.8% 3.4% 3.5% 4.2% 5.0% 6.4% 7.0% 10.6% 16.8% 30.7% 5.3%
Brooklyn Geary 0.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.1% 0.3% 0.6% 0.6% 0.6% 1.1% 1.4% 3.5% 5.3% 85.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.