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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University1.29+4.27vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island0.81+4.59vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College1.50+1.70vs Predicted
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4Florida State University0.42+3.67vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont1.22+0.40vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.37-1.05vs Predicted
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7Webb Institute0.07+1.39vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College-0.06+0.83vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University0.62-1.86vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.21-4.53vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.48-6.47vs Predicted
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12University of New Hampshire-0.26-2.54vs Predicted
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13University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.52-0.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.27Roger Williams University1.290.1%1st Place
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6.59University of Rhode Island0.810.1%1st Place
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4.7Connecticut College1.500.1%1st Place
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7.67Florida State University0.420.0%1st Place
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5.4University of Vermont1.220.1%1st Place
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4.95Northeastern University1.370.1%1st Place
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8.39Webb Institute0.070.0%1st Place
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8.83SUNY Maritime College-0.060.0%1st Place
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7.14Salve Regina University0.620.1%1st Place
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5.47U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.210.1%1st Place
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4.53Tufts University1.480.1%1st Place
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9.46University of New Hampshire-0.260.0%1st Place
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12.59University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jakub Fuja | 10.9% | 10.8% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 12.1% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Silvers | 7.0% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 11.8% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 11.9% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 3.4% | 0.7% |
| Henry Scholz | 13.8% | 12.3% | 13.2% | 12.1% | 12.1% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Carter Weatherilt | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 12.6% | 13.3% | 9.4% | 1.2% |
| Ethan Burt | 10.4% | 12.7% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Dillon | 12.8% | 12.3% | 10.9% | 12.1% | 12.3% | 10.4% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Marc Leyk | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 13.8% | 17.1% | 15.2% | 2.6% |
| Luke Barker | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 17.4% | 21.6% | 2.4% |
| Emil Tullberg | 7.0% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 0.8% |
| Tomas Riccio | 12.1% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 12.1% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Courtland Doyle | 13.4% | 16.7% | 13.9% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| James Frady | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 11.7% | 15.0% | 30.3% | 5.5% |
| Brooklyn Geary | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 5.7% | 86.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.