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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Courtland Doyle 14.6% 11.6% 13.4% 11.7% 11.5% 8.6% 9.8% 7.2% 4.9% 3.8% 2.1% 0.8% 0.0%
Ethan Burt 9.6% 11.5% 9.7% 11.4% 11.8% 9.6% 8.9% 9.7% 7.0% 5.7% 3.3% 1.6% 0.2%
Henry Scholz 13.8% 12.9% 14.5% 10.6% 10.7% 10.3% 9.1% 6.4% 5.8% 3.7% 1.8% 0.2% 0.2%
Tomas Riccio 11.5% 8.4% 11.1% 11.6% 9.5% 10.8% 8.6% 7.4% 9.5% 6.6% 3.5% 1.3% 0.2%
Joshua Dillon 12.4% 13.8% 11.2% 10.5% 9.4% 11.0% 8.9% 9.0% 6.0% 4.6% 2.2% 1.0% 0.0%
James Frady 2.2% 3.3% 2.8% 3.1% 3.5% 4.3% 6.0% 6.5% 7.5% 11.4% 17.0% 27.0% 5.4%
Marc Leyk 4.4% 3.4% 4.0% 5.4% 4.6% 5.3% 6.2% 7.8% 10.3% 12.5% 16.5% 17.1% 2.5%
Carter Weatherilt 4.2% 6.3% 4.7% 6.2% 4.9% 7.5% 9.1% 10.6% 11.2% 12.4% 11.9% 10.1% 0.9%
Jakub Fuja 11.1% 10.9% 12.3% 10.7% 10.5% 9.5% 8.2% 8.4% 7.5% 6.1% 3.0% 1.6% 0.2%
Cameron Silvers 7.7% 7.7% 5.7% 9.0% 10.3% 8.1% 9.7% 8.8% 9.9% 8.9% 9.3% 4.5% 0.4%
Emil Tullberg 6.0% 6.2% 7.7% 6.1% 8.8% 9.1% 9.6% 9.3% 11.4% 10.9% 8.6% 5.8% 0.5%
Luke Barker 2.3% 3.6% 2.8% 3.6% 4.0% 5.4% 5.5% 8.1% 8.0% 12.3% 17.8% 23.1% 3.5%
Brooklyn Geary 0.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.1% 0.5% 0.5% 0.4% 0.8% 1.0% 1.1% 3.0% 5.9% 86.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.