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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.48+3.75vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont1.22+3.42vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College1.50+1.70vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.21+1.48vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.37-0.01vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire-0.26+3.30vs Predicted
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7Webb Institute0.07+1.42vs Predicted
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8Florida State University0.42-0.38vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University1.29-3.70vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island0.81-3.46vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University0.62-4.12vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College-0.06-2.99vs Predicted
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13University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.52-0.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.75Tufts University1.480.1%1st Place
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5.42University of Vermont1.220.1%1st Place
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4.7Connecticut College1.500.1%1st Place
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5.48U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.210.1%1st Place
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4.99Northeastern University1.370.1%1st Place
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9.3University of New Hampshire-0.260.0%1st Place
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8.42Webb Institute0.070.0%1st Place
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7.62Florida State University0.420.0%1st Place
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5.3Roger Williams University1.290.1%1st Place
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6.54University of Rhode Island0.810.1%1st Place
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6.88Salve Regina University0.620.1%1st Place
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9.01SUNY Maritime College-0.060.0%1st Place
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12.58University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Courtland Doyle | 14.6% | 11.6% | 13.4% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Burt | 9.6% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 11.8% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Henry Scholz | 13.8% | 12.9% | 14.5% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Tomas Riccio | 11.5% | 8.4% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 6.6% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Joshua Dillon | 12.4% | 13.8% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| James Frady | 2.2% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 11.4% | 17.0% | 27.0% | 5.4% |
| Marc Leyk | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 12.5% | 16.5% | 17.1% | 2.5% |
| Carter Weatherilt | 4.2% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 12.4% | 11.9% | 10.1% | 0.9% |
| Jakub Fuja | 11.1% | 10.9% | 12.3% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Cameron Silvers | 7.7% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 4.5% | 0.4% |
| Emil Tullberg | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 0.5% |
| Luke Barker | 2.3% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 12.3% | 17.8% | 23.1% | 3.5% |
| Brooklyn Geary | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 3.0% | 5.9% | 86.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.