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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech0.07+1.67vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.01+0.87vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech0.07-0.33vs Predicted
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4American University-0.85+0.22vs Predicted
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5William and Mary-0.58-1.21vs Predicted
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6University of Maryland-0.58-2.22vs Predicted
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7Penn State University-1.82-1.26vs Predicted
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8Catholic University of America-2.14-1.70vs Predicted
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9University of Maryland/Baltimore County-2.45-2.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.67Virginia Tech0.070.3%1st Place
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2.87U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.010.2%1st Place
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2.67Virginia Tech0.070.3%1st Place
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4.22American University-0.850.1%1st Place
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3.79William and Mary-0.580.1%1st Place
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3.78University of Maryland-0.580.1%1st Place
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5.74Penn State University-1.820.0%1st Place
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6.3Catholic University of America-2.140.0%1st Place
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6.63University of Maryland/Baltimore County-2.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Lilyquist | 28.3% | 26.0% | 18.9% | 12.0% | 9.0% | 4.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Robert Finora | 24.3% | 23.7% | 19.2% | 14.7% | 11.5% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| James Lilyquist | 28.3% | 26.0% | 18.9% | 12.0% | 9.0% | 4.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Lorson | 11.3% | 10.8% | 13.7% | 17.3% | 18.8% | 15.1% | 9.8% | 3.2% | 0.0% |
| Eric Johnson | 13.8% | 14.7% | 16.4% | 18.6% | 16.2% | 12.6% | 5.6% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Jared Cohen | 13.1% | 15.2% | 19.1% | 15.4% | 16.3% | 13.8% | 5.7% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Mascia | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 10.1% | 14.0% | 19.7% | 23.3% | 19.2% | 0.0% |
| John Anthony Caraig | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 15.1% | 26.1% | 33.2% | 0.0% |
| John TIS | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 14.9% | 26.3% | 40.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.