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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Maryland-0.58+2.67vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.01+0.84vs Predicted
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3American University-0.85+1.22vs Predicted
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4Virginia Tech0.07-1.21vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech0.07-2.21vs Predicted
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6William and Mary-0.58-2.20vs Predicted
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7Penn State University-1.82-1.24vs Predicted
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8Catholic University of America-2.14-1.70vs Predicted
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9University of Maryland/Baltimore County-2.45-2.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.67University of Maryland-0.580.1%1st Place
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2.84U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.010.3%1st Place
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4.22American University-0.850.1%1st Place
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2.79Virginia Tech0.070.3%1st Place
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2.79Virginia Tech0.070.3%1st Place
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3.8William and Mary-0.580.1%1st Place
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5.76Penn State University-1.820.0%1st Place
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6.3Catholic University of America-2.140.0%1st Place
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6.62University of Maryland/Baltimore County-2.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jared Cohen | 14.9% | 16.4% | 16.6% | 16.9% | 17.1% | 11.4% | 5.3% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Robert Finora | 25.2% | 23.1% | 19.6% | 15.9% | 9.0% | 5.1% | 2.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Lorson | 11.3% | 11.5% | 14.3% | 14.8% | 19.5% | 15.0% | 10.2% | 3.4% | 0.0% |
| James Lilyquist | 26.7% | 23.2% | 17.6% | 17.8% | 9.2% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| James Lilyquist | 26.7% | 23.2% | 17.6% | 17.8% | 9.2% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Eric Johnson | 12.7% | 15.8% | 18.1% | 15.3% | 17.0% | 14.2% | 5.5% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Mascia | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 14.1% | 20.5% | 23.3% | 19.3% | 0.0% |
| John Anthony Caraig | 3.2% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 16.0% | 25.9% | 33.3% | 0.0% |
| John TIS | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 14.5% | 26.0% | 40.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.