Race 2B

wick-womens-event

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

36.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia 16.1% 14.2% 13.2% 13.0% 11.3% 10.9% 8.3% 6.8% 3.7% 1.8% 0.7%
Laura Smith 7.3% 7.6% 8.0% 9.2% 10.1% 10.0% 10.3% 12.7% 11.2% 9.3% 4.2%
Julia Shannon-Grillo 10.3% 10.1% 9.0% 11.5% 11.3% 10.1% 10.1% 9.2% 9.3% 7.4% 1.8%
Lizzie Cochran 11.8% 11.5% 11.1% 11.0% 10.5% 10.8% 10.5% 8.6% 8.0% 5.1% 1.2%
Lilly Saffer 5.0% 5.1% 5.5% 5.8% 7.1% 7.8% 9.8% 10.2% 14.0% 18.8% 10.9%
Lucia Loosbrock 15.4% 15.2% 13.8% 12.2% 11.9% 9.0% 7.6% 7.1% 4.7% 2.6% 0.4%
Sidney Moyer 14.4% 14.5% 13.5% 11.8% 10.9% 11.2% 8.8% 7.1% 4.2% 2.9% 0.7%
Marina Dreyfuss 6.2% 5.8% 7.6% 8.1% 9.4% 8.3% 10.3% 12.1% 12.1% 13.7% 6.4%
Arantxa Argibay 4.4% 5.9% 7.7% 6.4% 6.6% 8.9% 9.8% 10.4% 14.3% 16.5% 9.1%
Audrey Commerford 7.9% 8.6% 8.2% 8.9% 9.1% 10.4% 11.4% 11.4% 11.2% 9.3% 3.6%
Danielle Bogacheva 1.3% 1.4% 2.5% 2.1% 1.8% 2.6% 2.9% 4.3% 7.4% 12.7% 60.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.