Race 6A

women-regis-bowl

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Emily McNeil 2.8% 4.2% 2.5% 3.8% 6.2% 6.6% 6.0% 6.3% 8.2% 12.2% 13.0% 22.6% 5.6%
Elizabeth Glivinski 5.4% 5.8% 6.4% 7.9% 7.2% 7.0% 8.3% 9.0% 10.1% 12.2% 10.0% 9.1% 1.6%
Alexandra Arntsen 6.0% 6.0% 8.5% 8.0% 6.7% 8.9% 8.6% 10.1% 10.8% 9.6% 9.8% 6.2% 0.8%
Natalie Salk 11.5% 12.8% 12.6% 10.4% 10.8% 8.7% 8.2% 8.4% 7.4% 4.6% 3.2% 1.2% 0.2%
Hanna Vincent 12.3% 13.0% 10.6% 11.2% 10.0% 11.1% 8.4% 8.0% 5.1% 4.8% 4.1% 1.4% 0.0%
Devon Rohde 4.1% 4.7% 5.2% 4.6% 5.4% 6.3% 7.3% 8.6% 9.1% 10.5% 14.7% 16.5% 3.0%
Jessica Claflin 9.4% 7.4% 8.9% 8.0% 7.8% 9.0% 8.9% 8.9% 9.9% 8.8% 7.0% 4.9% 1.1%
Amy Hawkins 19.6% 17.5% 15.0% 10.8% 11.4% 8.7% 7.2% 4.4% 2.8% 1.3% 0.7% 0.6% 0.0%
Kelsey Wheeler 8.6% 7.8% 9.5% 9.8% 9.7% 9.7% 9.7% 9.1% 8.6% 6.6% 6.6% 3.8% 0.5%
Caitlin Watson 5.6% 4.4% 5.0% 6.0% 8.1% 5.6% 8.2% 9.6% 8.9% 10.2% 12.5% 13.0% 2.9%
Emily Billing 10.0% 11.4% 9.5% 12.4% 9.9% 10.3% 9.1% 9.2% 6.6% 5.4% 3.8% 1.9% 0.5%
Lyndsay Stockwell 0.3% 0.3% 0.4% 0.5% 0.5% 0.7% 1.0% 1.0% 1.6% 2.6% 2.9% 6.7% 81.5%
Abby Preston 4.4% 4.7% 5.9% 6.6% 6.3% 7.4% 9.1% 7.4% 10.9% 11.2% 11.7% 12.1% 2.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.