← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.01+1.36vs Predicted
-
2Virginia Tech0.07+0.24vs Predicted
-
3Virginia Tech0.07-0.76vs Predicted
-
4University of Maryland-0.58-0.91vs Predicted
-
5American University-1.20-1.09vs Predicted
-
6Catholic University of America-2.14-0.90vs Predicted
-
8Penn State University-1.82-3.34vs Predicted
-
9William and Mary-4.12-2.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.36U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.010.3%1st Place
-
2.24Virginia Tech0.070.3%1st Place
-
2.24Virginia Tech0.070.3%1st Place
-
3.09University of Maryland-0.580.2%1st Place
-
3.91American University-1.200.1%1st Place
-
5.1Catholic University of America-2.140.0%1st Place
-
4.66Penn State University-1.820.0%1st Place
-
6.64William and Mary-4.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Finora | 33.0% | 26.9% | 19.6% | 14.0% | 5.0% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| James Lilyquist | 33.8% | 31.1% | 19.6% | 10.0% | 4.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| James Lilyquist | 33.8% | 31.1% | 19.6% | 10.0% | 4.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jared Cohen | 15.5% | 19.8% | 27.1% | 20.8% | 11.7% | 4.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| James Cottage | 9.1% | 11.3% | 16.2% | 23.4% | 24.8% | 13.3% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| John Anthony Caraig | 3.3% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 11.5% | 23.5% | 39.8% | 10.8% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Mascia | 4.6% | 6.0% | 9.5% | 18.5% | 26.2% | 30.3% | 4.9% | 0.0% |
| Lynn Egan | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 4.6% | 9.8% | 81.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.