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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech0.07+1.24vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech0.07+0.24vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.01-0.66vs Predicted
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4American University-1.20-0.11vs Predicted
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5Penn State University-1.82-0.27vs Predicted
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6University of Maryland-0.58-2.88vs Predicted
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7Catholic University of America-2.14-1.95vs Predicted
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9William and Mary-4.12-2.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.24Virginia Tech0.070.4%1st Place
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2.24Virginia Tech0.070.4%1st Place
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2.34U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.010.3%1st Place
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3.89American University-1.200.1%1st Place
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4.73Penn State University-1.820.0%1st Place
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3.12University of Maryland-0.580.2%1st Place
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5.05Catholic University of America-2.140.0%1st Place
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6.64William and Mary-4.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Lilyquist | 36.3% | 27.5% | 19.0% | 11.4% | 4.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| James Lilyquist | 36.3% | 27.5% | 19.0% | 11.4% | 4.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Robert Finora | 31.9% | 28.6% | 20.7% | 12.8% | 4.6% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Cottage | 7.9% | 11.8% | 18.1% | 24.0% | 24.5% | 11.5% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Mascia | 4.0% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 14.7% | 29.6% | 29.6% | 6.3% | 0.0% |
| Jared Cohen | 15.6% | 21.5% | 22.9% | 22.0% | 12.5% | 4.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| John Anthony Caraig | 3.8% | 3.6% | 8.0% | 13.3% | 19.9% | 43.0% | 8.4% | 0.0% |
| Lynn Egan | 0.5% | 0.4% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 4.3% | 8.8% | 82.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.