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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech0.07+1.33vs Predicted
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2University of Maryland-0.58+1.14vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech0.07-0.67vs Predicted
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4Catholic University of America-2.14+1.15vs Predicted
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5American University-0.85-1.45vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.01-3.51vs Predicted
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8Penn State University-1.82-3.22vs Predicted
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9William and Mary-3.81-2.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.33Virginia Tech0.070.3%1st Place
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3.14University of Maryland-0.580.2%1st Place
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2.33Virginia Tech0.070.3%1st Place
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5.15Catholic University of America-2.140.0%1st Place
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3.55American University-0.850.1%1st Place
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2.49U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.010.3%1st Place
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4.78Penn State University-1.820.0%1st Place
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6.56William and Mary-3.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Lilyquist | 33.4% | 26.6% | 21.0% | 12.6% | 5.1% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jared Cohen | 15.5% | 21.4% | 22.5% | 21.1% | 13.5% | 5.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| James Lilyquist | 33.4% | 26.6% | 21.0% | 12.6% | 5.1% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| John Anthony Caraig | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 10.8% | 22.2% | 39.9% | 13.3% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Lorson | 12.3% | 14.5% | 19.3% | 24.7% | 19.0% | 9.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Robert Finora | 29.2% | 26.7% | 20.9% | 14.9% | 6.4% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Mascia | 4.9% | 5.0% | 9.8% | 13.9% | 28.5% | 29.8% | 8.1% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Thesmar | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 5.3% | 12.4% | 77.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.