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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech0.07+1.31vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech0.07+0.31vs Predicted
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3American University-0.85+0.48vs Predicted
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4University of Maryland-0.58-0.85vs Predicted
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5Catholic University of America-2.14+0.22vs Predicted
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6Penn State University-1.82-1.18vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.01-4.53vs Predicted
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9William and Mary-3.81-2.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.31Virginia Tech0.070.3%1st Place
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2.31Virginia Tech0.070.3%1st Place
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3.48American University-0.850.1%1st Place
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3.15University of Maryland-0.580.2%1st Place
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5.22Catholic University of America-2.140.0%1st Place
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4.82Penn State University-1.820.0%1st Place
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2.47U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.010.3%1st Place
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6.54William and Mary-3.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Lilyquist | 33.8% | 27.4% | 20.4% | 11.9% | 5.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| James Lilyquist | 33.8% | 27.4% | 20.4% | 11.9% | 5.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Lorson | 12.8% | 16.5% | 17.8% | 25.7% | 18.4% | 7.7% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Jared Cohen | 15.8% | 19.3% | 23.6% | 23.1% | 12.2% | 5.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| John Anthony Caraig | 2.3% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 10.6% | 22.3% | 40.7% | 13.4% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Mascia | 4.4% | 5.5% | 9.1% | 12.9% | 29.5% | 30.4% | 8.2% | 0.0% |
| Robert Finora | 30.1% | 26.2% | 21.4% | 13.3% | 6.7% | 2.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Thesmar | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 5.5% | 12.9% | 76.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.