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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech-0.03+1.48vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech-0.03+0.48vs Predicted
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3Penn State University-1.82+2.18vs Predicted
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4William and Mary-0.98-0.06vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.01-2.47vs Predicted
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6American University-1.20-1.69vs Predicted
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7University of Maryland-1.06-2.92vs Predicted
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8Catholic University of America-2.14-2.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.48Virginia Tech-0.030.3%1st Place
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2.48Virginia Tech-0.030.3%1st Place
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5.18Penn State University-1.820.0%1st Place
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3.94William and Mary-0.980.1%1st Place
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2.53U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.010.3%1st Place
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4.31American University-1.200.1%1st Place
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4.08University of Maryland-1.060.1%1st Place
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5.48Catholic University of America-2.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zachary Bender | 32.1% | 26.9% | 17.5% | 12.8% | 6.8% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Bender | 32.1% | 26.9% | 17.5% | 12.8% | 6.8% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Mascia | 4.9% | 5.1% | 9.3% | 12.1% | 13.8% | 26.0% | 28.8% | 0.0% |
| Meredith Endres | 10.7% | 12.5% | 18.3% | 18.2% | 18.7% | 14.1% | 7.5% | 0.0% |
| Robert Finora | 30.9% | 24.9% | 18.5% | 15.0% | 8.2% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| James Cottage | 6.5% | 13.2% | 13.7% | 16.7% | 20.1% | 18.6% | 11.2% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Bullock | 10.0% | 11.8% | 16.3% | 18.1% | 19.0% | 15.9% | 8.9% | 0.0% |
| John Anthony Caraig | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 13.4% | 21.0% | 41.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.