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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech-0.03+1.50vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech-0.03+0.50vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.01-0.53vs Predicted
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4University of Maryland-1.06+0.07vs Predicted
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5Catholic University of America-2.14+0.69vs Predicted
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6William and Mary-0.98-2.03vs Predicted
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7American University-1.20-2.75vs Predicted
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8Penn State University-1.82-2.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.5Virginia Tech-0.030.3%1st Place
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2.5Virginia Tech-0.030.3%1st Place
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2.47U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.010.3%1st Place
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4.07University of Maryland-1.060.1%1st Place
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5.69Catholic University of America-2.140.0%1st Place
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3.97William and Mary-0.980.1%1st Place
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4.25American University-1.200.1%1st Place
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5.06Penn State University-1.820.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zachary Bender | 32.4% | 25.6% | 17.8% | 12.4% | 8.6% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Bender | 32.4% | 25.6% | 17.8% | 12.4% | 8.6% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Robert Finora | 30.8% | 27.8% | 18.5% | 13.6% | 6.0% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Bullock | 9.9% | 10.9% | 17.2% | 18.9% | 19.5% | 14.5% | 9.1% | 0.0% |
| John Anthony Caraig | 2.6% | 3.5% | 6.1% | 9.2% | 12.2% | 21.8% | 44.6% | 0.0% |
| Meredith Endres | 9.7% | 14.0% | 16.8% | 17.8% | 20.4% | 13.7% | 7.6% | 0.0% |
| James Cottage | 9.3% | 10.8% | 15.0% | 16.3% | 18.8% | 19.1% | 10.7% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Mascia | 5.3% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 11.8% | 14.5% | 26.0% | 26.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.