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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.01+1.71vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech0.07+0.56vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech0.07-0.44vs Predicted
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4William and Mary-0.98+0.17vs Predicted
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5American University-0.85-1.05vs Predicted
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6Catholic University of America-2.14-0.19vs Predicted
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7University of Maryland-0.58-3.45vs Predicted
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8Penn State University-1.82-2.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.71U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.010.3%1st Place
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2.56Virginia Tech0.070.3%1st Place
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2.56Virginia Tech0.070.3%1st Place
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4.17William and Mary-0.980.1%1st Place
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3.95American University-0.850.1%1st Place
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5.81Catholic University of America-2.140.0%1st Place
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3.55University of Maryland-0.580.2%1st Place
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5.25Penn State University-1.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Finora | 27.7% | 24.6% | 19.3% | 12.7% | 10.7% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| James Lilyquist | 28.4% | 27.4% | 19.9% | 12.7% | 7.6% | 3.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| James Lilyquist | 28.4% | 27.4% | 19.9% | 12.7% | 7.6% | 3.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Meredith Endres | 9.5% | 9.9% | 14.7% | 20.5% | 19.8% | 16.9% | 8.7% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Lorson | 12.0% | 12.6% | 14.4% | 17.9% | 21.6% | 15.3% | 6.2% | 0.0% |
| John Anthony Caraig | 2.4% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 10.6% | 23.0% | 48.0% | 0.0% |
| Jared Cohen | 15.4% | 15.8% | 18.7% | 19.2% | 15.1% | 11.4% | 4.4% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Mascia | 4.6% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 14.6% | 26.6% | 30.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.