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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech0.07+1.55vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech0.07+0.55vs Predicted
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3American University-0.85+0.88vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.01-1.31vs Predicted
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5Catholic University of America-2.14+0.85vs Predicted
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6University of Maryland-0.58-2.42vs Predicted
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7William and Mary-0.98-2.82vs Predicted
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8Penn State University-1.82-2.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.55Virginia Tech0.070.3%1st Place
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2.55Virginia Tech0.070.3%1st Place
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3.88American University-0.850.1%1st Place
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2.69U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.010.3%1st Place
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5.85Catholic University of America-2.140.0%1st Place
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3.58University of Maryland-0.580.1%1st Place
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4.18William and Mary-0.980.1%1st Place
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5.26Penn State University-1.820.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Lilyquist | 31.2% | 24.9% | 18.9% | 12.4% | 8.8% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| James Lilyquist | 31.2% | 24.9% | 18.9% | 12.4% | 8.8% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Lorson | 11.1% | 13.5% | 16.2% | 19.6% | 20.7% | 12.6% | 6.3% | 0.0% |
| Robert Finora | 27.9% | 23.5% | 19.9% | 14.6% | 9.4% | 3.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| John Anthony Caraig | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 22.5% | 49.1% | 0.0% |
| Jared Cohen | 13.1% | 17.6% | 18.6% | 18.0% | 18.2% | 10.4% | 4.1% | 0.0% |
| Meredith Endres | 9.5% | 11.2% | 14.3% | 17.8% | 19.5% | 19.2% | 8.5% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Mascia | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 13.3% | 28.9% | 29.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.