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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech-0.03+1.63vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech-0.03+0.63vs Predicted
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3Penn State University-1.82+2.27vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.01-1.41vs Predicted
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5William and Mary-0.98-0.93vs Predicted
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7American University-1.20-2.59vs Predicted
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8University of Maryland-0.58-4.54vs Predicted
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9Catholic University of America-2.14-3.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.63Virginia Tech-0.030.3%1st Place
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2.63Virginia Tech-0.030.3%1st Place
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5.27Penn State University-1.820.0%1st Place
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2.59U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.010.3%1st Place
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4.07William and Mary-0.980.1%1st Place
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4.41American University-1.200.1%1st Place
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3.46University of Maryland-0.580.1%1st Place
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5.58Catholic University of America-2.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zachary Bender | 29.0% | 24.8% | 19.3% | 14.4% | 7.7% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Bender | 29.0% | 24.8% | 19.3% | 14.4% | 7.7% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Mascia | 4.6% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 11.1% | 16.6% | 24.1% | 31.1% | 0.0% |
| Robert Finora | 29.0% | 26.0% | 19.8% | 12.7% | 7.6% | 4.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Meredith Endres | 10.4% | 12.5% | 13.1% | 20.0% | 19.4% | 17.1% | 7.5% | 0.0% |
| James Cottage | 7.7% | 10.0% | 12.6% | 16.3% | 23.0% | 17.8% | 12.6% | 0.0% |
| Jared Cohen | 14.9% | 17.5% | 20.3% | 19.2% | 13.8% | 10.8% | 3.5% | 0.0% |
| John Anthony Caraig | 4.4% | 4.1% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 11.9% | 22.5% | 43.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.