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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech-0.03+1.61vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.01+0.61vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech-0.03-0.39vs Predicted
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4Penn State University-1.82+1.29vs Predicted
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5American University-1.20-0.59vs Predicted
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6William and Mary-0.98-1.91vs Predicted
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7Catholic University of America-2.14-1.30vs Predicted
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8University of Maryland-0.58-4.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.61Virginia Tech-0.030.3%1st Place
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2.61U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.010.3%1st Place
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2.61Virginia Tech-0.030.3%1st Place
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5.29Penn State University-1.820.0%1st Place
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4.41American University-1.200.1%1st Place
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4.09William and Mary-0.980.1%1st Place
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5.7Catholic University of America-2.140.0%1st Place
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3.3University of Maryland-0.580.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zachary Bender | 30.5% | 23.3% | 19.0% | 14.6% | 8.6% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Robert Finora | 27.4% | 26.4% | 20.9% | 13.5% | 7.9% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Bender | 30.5% | 23.3% | 19.0% | 14.6% | 8.6% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Mascia | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 10.7% | 14.7% | 28.5% | 29.7% | 0.0% |
| James Cottage | 7.8% | 10.0% | 13.2% | 13.9% | 23.3% | 21.0% | 10.8% | 0.0% |
| Meredith Endres | 9.0% | 12.4% | 15.9% | 19.7% | 18.0% | 16.4% | 8.6% | 0.0% |
| John Anthony Caraig | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 9.3% | 12.3% | 20.8% | 45.9% | 0.0% |
| Jared Cohen | 17.2% | 18.5% | 20.4% | 18.3% | 15.2% | 7.4% | 3.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.