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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston4.61+3.93vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont2.93+9.16vs Predicted
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3Boston College4.43+2.61vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.50+5.14vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland4.16+1.46vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island3.92+1.59vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida2.80+4.75vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College3.83-0.31vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College3.76-0.72vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.60-1.39vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania2.79+0.92vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University3.54-3.07vs Predicted
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13Tufts University3.29-2.93vs Predicted
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14Harvard University3.67-5.45vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.30-5.07vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.17-2.16vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College3.68-8.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.93College of Charleston4.610.2%1st Place
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11.16University of Vermont2.930.0%1st Place
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5.61Boston College4.430.1%1st Place
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9.14Yale University3.500.0%1st Place
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6.46St. Mary's College of Maryland4.160.1%1st Place
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7.59University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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11.75University of South Florida2.800.0%1st Place
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7.69Eckerd College3.830.1%1st Place
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8.28Dartmouth College3.760.1%1st Place
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8.61Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.600.0%1st Place
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11.92University of Pennsylvania2.790.0%1st Place
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8.93Old Dominion University3.540.0%1st Place
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10.07Tufts University3.290.0%1st Place
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8.55Harvard University3.670.0%1st Place
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9.93U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.300.0%1st Place
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13.84Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.170.0%1st Place
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8.54Connecticut College3.680.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allison Blecher | 16.3% | 13.7% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Kimberly Kaull | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 12.3% | 8.9% |
| Anne Haeger | 12.7% | 12.1% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Claire Dennis | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 3.6% |
| Sara Morgan Watters | 10.0% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Amy Hawkins | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.0% |
| Rachael Silverstein | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 13.3% |
| Cara Vavolotis | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 0.8% |
| Rebecca Dellenbaugh | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.3% |
| Caroline Patten | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 1.8% |
| Amanda Johnson | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 13.9% | 17.2% |
| Katrina Williams | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 3.1% |
| Catherine Swanson | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 4.9% |
| Emily Lambert | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 1.1% |
| Krysta Rohde | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 4.8% |
| Jamie Curran | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 15.1% | 36.1% |
| Maggie Shea | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 1.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.