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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.07+3.96vs Predicted
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2Cornell University1.79+4.12vs Predicted
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3Boston College1.36+4.44vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii0.51+6.50vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University1.52+2.40vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.17-0.96vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College1.45+0.84vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.75+3.04vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida0.99+0.48vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College1.84-3.98vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.63-0.87vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland0.83-2.17vs Predicted
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13Boston University-0.48+0.95vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania1.16-4.22vs Predicted
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15Fordham University-0.35-1.34vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin0.36-5.20vs Predicted
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17North Carolina State University0.01-4.40vs Predicted
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18University of Texas-0.67-3.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.96Stanford University2.0714.6%1st Place
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6.12Cornell University1.7910.7%1st Place
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7.44Boston College1.367.1%1st Place
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10.5University of Hawaii0.513.0%1st Place
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7.4Old Dominion University1.526.9%1st Place
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5.04Harvard University2.1713.4%1st Place
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7.84Dartmouth College1.456.5%1st Place
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11.04Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.752.4%1st Place
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9.48University of South Florida0.994.5%1st Place
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6.02Bowdoin College1.8412.2%1st Place
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10.13Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.633.9%1st Place
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9.83St. Mary's College of Maryland0.833.6%1st Place
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13.95Boston University-0.481.3%1st Place
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9.78University of Pennsylvania1.163.9%1st Place
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13.66Fordham University-0.351.1%1st Place
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10.8University of Wisconsin0.362.6%1st Place
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12.6North Carolina State University0.011.2%1st Place
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14.43University of Texas-0.671.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ellie Harned | 14.6% | 13.3% | 12.8% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Devling | 10.7% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sara Schumann | 7.1% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Martha Schuessler | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 3.0% |
| Marina Conde | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 13.4% | 13.9% | 13.1% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Drulard | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Brooke Barry | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 3.9% |
| Kalea Woodard | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 1.5% |
| Lauren Russler | 12.2% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Sabrina Starck | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 2.1% |
| Lina Carper | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 1.8% |
| Sage Andrews | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 12.3% | 17.1% | 21.8% |
| Adra Ivancich | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 1.8% |
| Lauren Murray | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 14.8% | 18.6% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 5.8% | 3.8% |
| Lyla Solway | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 10.9% |
| Kate Lyon | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 16.4% | 29.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.