Race 7A

women-regis-bowl

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Kelsey Wheeler 9.3% 8.2% 9.7% 10.9% 8.8% 8.7% 10.1% 9.4% 7.4% 7.9% 5.6% 3.6% 0.4%
Emily Billing 9.2% 10.6% 9.7% 10.6% 10.5% 9.7% 8.6% 8.9% 8.0% 6.5% 4.8% 2.5% 0.4%
Amy Hawkins 18.6% 17.3% 14.4% 12.3% 10.3% 8.9% 7.2% 4.9% 3.4% 1.8% 0.7% 0.0% 0.2%
Jessica Claflin 7.2% 8.5% 8.0% 9.6% 8.3% 8.6% 9.3% 8.0% 8.9% 10.3% 6.4% 6.2% 0.7%
Caitlin Watson 5.3% 5.2% 4.5% 7.0% 6.8% 7.5% 7.6% 8.3% 10.0% 9.8% 12.2% 13.3% 2.5%
Emily McNeil 4.6% 3.1% 3.6% 4.2% 5.6% 5.3% 5.7% 7.0% 8.9% 12.1% 13.3% 21.6% 5.0%
Elizabeth Glivinski 6.8% 6.3% 7.1% 7.4% 6.5% 6.2% 9.5% 9.7% 9.8% 9.6% 11.5% 8.0% 1.6%
Alexandra Arntsen 6.7% 7.5% 5.9% 7.3% 8.3% 8.7% 9.2% 10.3% 9.9% 9.4% 8.1% 7.9% 0.8%
Natalie Salk 11.9% 12.1% 12.5% 9.9% 10.5% 10.7% 6.8% 7.8% 7.5% 4.5% 3.8% 1.7% 0.3%
Abby Preston 5.7% 4.8% 6.3% 6.8% 7.3% 7.1% 8.6% 8.7% 8.1% 9.4% 13.1% 11.9% 2.2%
Devon Rohde 3.5% 3.8% 6.7% 4.5% 5.9% 8.1% 7.1% 7.2% 10.3% 12.2% 12.2% 15.4% 3.1%
Hanna Vincent 10.7% 12.2% 11.3% 9.4% 10.2% 9.9% 9.4% 8.7% 6.5% 4.7% 5.0% 1.7% 0.3%
Lyndsay Stockwell 0.5% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 1.0% 0.6% 0.9% 1.1% 1.3% 1.8% 3.3% 6.2% 82.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.