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📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University1.07+3.25vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University-0.84+4.19vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont0.48+2.98vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.18+0.37vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College-0.13+2.13vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.01-1.51vs Predicted
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7Tufts University0.71-1.55vs Predicted
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8University of Miami-0.03-1.01vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida0.16-2.44vs Predicted
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10Boston University-1.31-0.38vs Predicted
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11Fordham University0.71-6.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.25George Washington University1.0715.4%1st Place
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6.19Christopher Newport University-0.846.6%1st Place
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5.98University of Vermont0.487.5%1st Place
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4.37Northeastern University1.1815.8%1st Place
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7.13Connecticut College-0.134.9%1st Place
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4.49Brown University1.0114.9%1st Place
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5.45Tufts University0.7110.2%1st Place
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6.99University of Miami-0.035.2%1st Place
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6.56University of South Florida0.166.2%1st Place
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9.62Boston University-1.311.5%1st Place
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4.95Fordham University0.7111.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 15.4% | 15.2% | 14.6% | 12.8% | 11.7% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Laura Smith | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 10.4% | 4.4% |
| Audrey Commerford | 7.5% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 12.6% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 3.5% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 15.8% | 14.0% | 12.8% | 12.8% | 12.2% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Lilly Saffer | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 13.5% | 17.5% | 10.8% |
| Sidney Moyer | 14.9% | 13.9% | 14.1% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Julia Shannon-Grillo | 10.2% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 11.4% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 6.8% | 1.8% |
| Arantxa Argibay | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 14.2% | 16.9% | 8.6% |
| Marina Dreyfuss | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 12.2% | 14.0% | 6.8% |
| Danielle Bogacheva | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 13.0% | 61.3% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 11.8% | 12.6% | 10.7% | 12.7% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 1.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.