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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech-0.03+1.39vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech-0.03+0.39vs Predicted
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3University of Maryland-1.29+1.02vs Predicted
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4American University-1.49+0.29vs Predicted
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5Penn State University-1.34-0.89vs Predicted
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6Catholic University of America-2.90+0.31vs Predicted
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7University of Maryland/Baltimore County-3.34-0.18vs Predicted
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8William and Mary-2.82-1.79vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.49-7.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.39Virginia Tech-0.030.3%1st Place
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2.39Virginia Tech-0.030.3%1st Place
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4.02University of Maryland-1.290.1%1st Place
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4.29American University-1.490.1%1st Place
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4.11Penn State University-1.340.1%1st Place
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6.31Catholic University of America-2.900.0%1st Place
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6.82University of Maryland/Baltimore County-3.340.0%1st Place
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6.21William and Mary-2.820.0%1st Place
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1.84U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.490.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zachary Bender | 26.4% | 34.2% | 21.4% | 12.1% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Bender | 26.4% | 34.2% | 21.4% | 12.1% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brian Zagalsky | 8.8% | 9.4% | 18.1% | 24.1% | 20.9% | 12.8% | 4.8% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Arey | 6.6% | 8.7% | 17.1% | 20.3% | 22.1% | 16.0% | 7.4% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Erich Laughlin | 6.3% | 12.0% | 17.5% | 20.1% | 24.2% | 13.8% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Christian Aron | 1.3% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 20.1% | 30.7% | 25.4% | 0.0% |
| Grace Hartman | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 15.1% | 23.5% | 45.9% | 0.0% |
| Sebastian Morales-Talero | 1.8% | 2.0% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 11.5% | 20.2% | 29.0% | 24.1% | 0.0% |
| Langdon Wallace | 47.7% | 30.1% | 14.9% | 5.5% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.