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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech-0.03+1.38vs Predicted
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2American University-1.49+2.32vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.49-1.15vs Predicted
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4Virginia Tech-0.03-1.62vs Predicted
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5Penn State University-1.34-0.89vs Predicted
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6University of Maryland-1.29-1.95vs Predicted
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7Catholic University of America-2.90-0.70vs Predicted
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8William and Mary-2.82-1.78vs Predicted
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9University of Maryland/Baltimore County-3.34-2.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.38Virginia Tech-0.030.3%1st Place
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4.32American University-1.490.1%1st Place
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1.85U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.490.5%1st Place
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2.38Virginia Tech-0.030.3%1st Place
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4.11Penn State University-1.340.1%1st Place
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4.05University of Maryland-1.290.1%1st Place
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6.3Catholic University of America-2.900.0%1st Place
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6.22William and Mary-2.820.0%1st Place
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6.77University of Maryland/Baltimore County-3.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zachary Bender | 28.3% | 32.7% | 20.9% | 11.8% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Arey | 6.5% | 9.2% | 14.8% | 22.7% | 21.1% | 15.1% | 9.1% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Langdon Wallace | 47.3% | 30.7% | 14.0% | 5.7% | 2.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Bender | 28.3% | 32.7% | 20.9% | 11.8% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erich Laughlin | 7.4% | 10.1% | 18.6% | 21.0% | 22.0% | 14.3% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Brian Zagalsky | 6.4% | 11.3% | 20.7% | 21.8% | 19.4% | 14.6% | 4.6% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Christian Aron | 1.3% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 12.2% | 20.2% | 26.9% | 27.3% | 0.0% |
| Sebastian Morales-Talero | 2.4% | 2.1% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 11.6% | 19.2% | 27.7% | 26.1% | 0.0% |
| Grace Hartman | 0.4% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 7.3% | 14.8% | 26.7% | 41.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.