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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech-2.15+3.63vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.49-0.46vs Predicted
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3Penn State University-1.34+0.48vs Predicted
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4Virginia Tech-2.15+0.63vs Predicted
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5University of Maryland-1.29-1.53vs Predicted
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6Catholic University of America-2.90-0.21vs Predicted
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7American University-1.49-3.31vs Predicted
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8University of Maryland/Baltimore County-3.34-1.64vs Predicted
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9William and Mary-4.02-1.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.63Virginia Tech-2.150.0%1st Place
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1.54U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.490.6%1st Place
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3.48Penn State University-1.340.1%1st Place
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4.63Virginia Tech-2.150.0%1st Place
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3.47University of Maryland-1.290.1%1st Place
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5.79Catholic University of America-2.900.0%1st Place
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3.69American University-1.490.1%1st Place
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6.36University of Maryland/Baltimore County-3.340.0%1st Place
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7.05William and Mary-4.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Riecker | 4.0% | 9.5% | 13.7% | 16.3% | 23.3% | 18.8% | 11.0% | 3.4% | 0.0% |
| Langdon Wallace | 62.9% | 24.9% | 8.6% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erich Laughlin | 10.0% | 20.4% | 21.4% | 22.6% | 14.3% | 8.5% | 2.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Robert Riecker | 4.0% | 9.5% | 13.7% | 16.3% | 23.3% | 18.8% | 11.0% | 3.4% | 0.0% |
| Brian Zagalsky | 10.6% | 18.8% | 24.2% | 19.4% | 16.2% | 8.3% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Christian Aron | 2.3% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 9.0% | 14.2% | 24.7% | 27.0% | 13.5% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Arey | 8.2% | 18.5% | 20.8% | 20.6% | 17.3% | 11.0% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Grace Hartman | 1.4% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 9.1% | 18.6% | 30.6% | 28.0% | 0.0% |
| Kinsey Gore | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 10.0% | 24.0% | 53.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.