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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech-2.15+3.62vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.49-0.46vs Predicted
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3American University-1.49+0.70vs Predicted
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4Penn State University-1.34-0.46vs Predicted
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5Catholic University of America-2.90+0.79vs Predicted
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6University of Maryland-1.29-2.60vs Predicted
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7Virginia Tech-2.15-2.38vs Predicted
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8University of Maryland/Baltimore County-3.34-1.63vs Predicted
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9William and Mary-4.02-1.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.62Virginia Tech-2.150.0%1st Place
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1.54U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.490.6%1st Place
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3.7American University-1.490.1%1st Place
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3.54Penn State University-1.340.1%1st Place
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5.79Catholic University of America-2.900.0%1st Place
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3.4University of Maryland-1.290.1%1st Place
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4.62Virginia Tech-2.150.0%1st Place
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6.37University of Maryland/Baltimore County-3.340.0%1st Place
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7.05William and Mary-4.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Riecker | 4.0% | 9.2% | 14.5% | 16.8% | 22.5% | 18.4% | 11.1% | 3.5% | 0.0% |
| Langdon Wallace | 62.6% | 24.9% | 9.4% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Arey | 9.0% | 16.5% | 20.5% | 22.8% | 16.3% | 10.9% | 3.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Erich Laughlin | 10.0% | 18.3% | 23.0% | 20.3% | 16.5% | 9.3% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Christian Aron | 2.3% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 14.7% | 24.7% | 26.8% | 13.5% | 0.0% |
| Brian Zagalsky | 10.2% | 23.2% | 21.0% | 20.5% | 14.8% | 7.8% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Robert Riecker | 4.0% | 9.2% | 14.5% | 16.8% | 22.5% | 18.4% | 11.1% | 3.5% | 0.0% |
| Grace Hartman | 1.3% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 9.3% | 18.6% | 30.6% | 28.1% | 0.0% |
| Kinsey Gore | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 10.3% | 23.9% | 53.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.