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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech-0.36+1.57vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.49-0.24vs Predicted
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3American University-1.49+1.15vs Predicted
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4William and Mary-2.82+1.89vs Predicted
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5University of Maryland-1.29-1.09vs Predicted
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6Penn State University-1.34-2.05vs Predicted
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7Virginia Tech-0.36-4.43vs Predicted
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9Catholic University of America-2.90-3.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.57Virginia Tech-0.360.3%1st Place
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1.76U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.490.5%1st Place
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4.15American University-1.490.1%1st Place
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5.89William and Mary-2.820.0%1st Place
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3.91University of Maryland-1.290.1%1st Place
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3.95Penn State University-1.340.1%1st Place
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2.57Virginia Tech-0.360.3%1st Place
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5.77Catholic University of America-2.900.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Hale | 25.4% | 28.8% | 21.2% | 14.6% | 8.0% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Langdon Wallace | 50.7% | 31.2% | 11.9% | 4.3% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Arey | 7.1% | 8.2% | 18.9% | 20.8% | 24.3% | 15.1% | 5.6% | 0.0% |
| Sebastian Morales-Talero | 0.9% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 30.1% | 43.3% | 0.0% |
| Brian Zagalsky | 7.1% | 12.9% | 20.8% | 21.1% | 21.8% | 11.9% | 4.4% | 0.0% |
| Erich Laughlin | 7.0% | 13.1% | 18.3% | 21.9% | 22.7% | 13.4% | 3.6% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Hale | 25.4% | 28.8% | 21.2% | 14.6% | 8.0% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Christian Aron | 1.8% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 27.3% | 42.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.