← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Virginia Tech-0.36+1.62vs Predicted
-
2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.49-0.24vs Predicted
-
3American University-1.49+1.14vs Predicted
-
4Virginia Tech-0.36-1.38vs Predicted
-
5University of Maryland-1.29-1.12vs Predicted
-
6Penn State University-1.34-2.00vs Predicted
-
7Catholic University of America-2.90-1.11vs Predicted
-
9William and Mary-2.82-3.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.62Virginia Tech-0.360.2%1st Place
-
1.76U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.490.5%1st Place
-
4.14American University-1.490.1%1st Place
-
2.62Virginia Tech-0.360.2%1st Place
-
3.88University of Maryland-1.290.1%1st Place
-
4.0Penn State University-1.340.1%1st Place
-
5.89Catholic University of America-2.900.0%1st Place
-
5.73William and Mary-2.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Hale | 24.3% | 29.5% | 20.8% | 14.2% | 8.7% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Langdon Wallace | 50.8% | 31.0% | 12.5% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Arey | 6.8% | 8.7% | 18.9% | 21.3% | 23.4% | 15.5% | 5.4% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Hale | 24.3% | 29.5% | 20.8% | 14.2% | 8.7% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Brian Zagalsky | 7.7% | 13.7% | 19.2% | 21.1% | 22.5% | 12.5% | 3.3% | 0.0% |
| Erich Laughlin | 6.8% | 11.1% | 20.3% | 23.1% | 20.4% | 12.9% | 5.4% | 0.0% |
| Christian Aron | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 7.9% | 12.0% | 29.0% | 44.0% | 0.0% |
| Sebastian Morales-Talero | 1.9% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 28.1% | 41.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.