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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.49+0.71vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech-2.15+3.37vs Predicted
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3William and Mary-0.89+0.37vs Predicted
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4American University-1.49+0.31vs Predicted
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5Penn State University-1.34-0.99vs Predicted
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6University of Maryland-1.29-2.06vs Predicted
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7Catholic University of America-2.90-0.58vs Predicted
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8Virginia Tech-2.15-2.63vs Predicted
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9University of Maryland/Baltimore County-3.34-2.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.71U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.490.6%1st Place
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5.37Virginia Tech-2.150.0%1st Place
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3.37William and Mary-0.890.1%1st Place
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4.31American University-1.490.1%1st Place
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4.01Penn State University-1.340.1%1st Place
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3.94University of Maryland-1.290.1%1st Place
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6.42Catholic University of America-2.900.0%1st Place
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5.37Virginia Tech-2.150.0%1st Place
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6.88University of Maryland/Baltimore County-3.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Langdon Wallace | 55.9% | 26.1% | 11.2% | 5.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Riecker | 3.5% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 15.5% | 23.4% | 20.8% | 11.0% | 0.0% |
| Ava Pezzimenti | 13.9% | 20.7% | 20.4% | 19.8% | 14.3% | 7.5% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Arey | 7.7% | 10.6% | 15.8% | 18.0% | 19.2% | 17.1% | 9.1% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Erich Laughlin | 7.6% | 16.3% | 16.8% | 19.3% | 15.5% | 16.7% | 6.5% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Brian Zagalsky | 8.7% | 14.4% | 20.5% | 18.0% | 17.7% | 12.9% | 5.8% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Christian Aron | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 31.1% | 32.9% | 0.0% |
| Robert Riecker | 3.5% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 15.5% | 23.4% | 20.8% | 11.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Hartman | 0.8% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 7.0% | 10.5% | 23.8% | 49.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.