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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.49+0.73vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech-2.15+3.38vs Predicted
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3Penn State University-1.34+1.02vs Predicted
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4William and Mary-0.89-0.64vs Predicted
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5American University-1.49-0.73vs Predicted
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6University of Maryland-1.29-2.07vs Predicted
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7Catholic University of America-2.90-0.57vs Predicted
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8Virginia Tech-2.15-2.62vs Predicted
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9University of Maryland/Baltimore County-3.34-2.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.73U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.490.6%1st Place
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5.38Virginia Tech-2.150.0%1st Place
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4.02Penn State University-1.340.1%1st Place
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3.36William and Mary-0.890.1%1st Place
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4.27American University-1.490.1%1st Place
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3.93University of Maryland-1.290.1%1st Place
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6.43Catholic University of America-2.900.0%1st Place
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5.38Virginia Tech-2.150.0%1st Place
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6.88University of Maryland/Baltimore County-3.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Langdon Wallace | 55.9% | 25.4% | 11.7% | 5.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Riecker | 3.5% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 16.7% | 23.5% | 20.8% | 10.9% | 0.0% |
| Erich Laughlin | 9.4% | 13.8% | 16.6% | 18.6% | 18.6% | 14.7% | 6.5% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Ava Pezzimenti | 12.8% | 21.6% | 21.8% | 18.3% | 14.5% | 8.4% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Arey | 6.7% | 12.1% | 15.8% | 19.5% | 17.8% | 17.1% | 8.8% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Brian Zagalsky | 9.1% | 14.3% | 20.5% | 17.8% | 16.9% | 13.8% | 5.7% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Christian Aron | 1.7% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 31.1% | 33.4% | 0.0% |
| Robert Riecker | 3.5% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 16.7% | 23.5% | 20.8% | 10.9% | 0.0% |
| Grace Hartman | 0.9% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 11.0% | 24.6% | 49.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.