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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech-0.36+1.91vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech-0.36+0.91vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.49-1.02vs Predicted
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4University of Maryland-1.29+0.41vs Predicted
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5Penn State University-1.34-0.50vs Predicted
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6William and Mary-0.89-2.20vs Predicted
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7American University-1.49-2.31vs Predicted
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8Catholic University of America-2.90-1.34vs Predicted
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9University of Maryland/Baltimore County-3.34-1.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.91Virginia Tech-0.360.2%1st Place
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2.91Virginia Tech-0.360.2%1st Place
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1.98U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.490.4%1st Place
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4.41University of Maryland-1.290.1%1st Place
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4.5Penn State University-1.340.1%1st Place
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3.8William and Mary-0.890.1%1st Place
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4.69American University-1.490.1%1st Place
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6.66Catholic University of America-2.900.0%1st Place
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7.06University of Maryland/Baltimore County-3.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Hale | 20.7% | 25.1% | 21.6% | 16.0% | 10.2% | 4.7% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Hale | 20.7% | 25.1% | 21.6% | 16.0% | 10.2% | 4.7% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Langdon Wallace | 44.4% | 29.4% | 14.8% | 7.7% | 3.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brian Zagalsky | 7.9% | 10.2% | 13.1% | 17.0% | 20.6% | 18.8% | 9.8% | 2.6% | 0.0% |
| Erich Laughlin | 6.8% | 9.6% | 13.7% | 16.5% | 20.6% | 18.9% | 11.2% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| Ava Pezzimenti | 10.9% | 14.1% | 20.0% | 19.5% | 16.5% | 13.7% | 4.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Arey | 6.4% | 7.9% | 12.1% | 16.1% | 18.7% | 22.7% | 12.4% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| Christian Aron | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 12.5% | 32.8% | 37.3% | 0.0% |
| Grace Hartman | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 8.1% | 27.7% | 52.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.