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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech-0.36+1.91vs Predicted
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2William and Mary-0.89+1.80vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech-0.36-0.09vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.49-2.06vs Predicted
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5University of Maryland-1.29-0.56vs Predicted
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6Penn State University-1.34-1.49vs Predicted
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7American University-1.49-2.32vs Predicted
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8University of Maryland/Baltimore County-3.34-0.89vs Predicted
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9Catholic University of America-2.90-2.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.91Virginia Tech-0.360.2%1st Place
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3.8William and Mary-0.890.1%1st Place
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2.91Virginia Tech-0.360.2%1st Place
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1.94U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.490.5%1st Place
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4.44University of Maryland-1.290.1%1st Place
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4.51Penn State University-1.340.1%1st Place
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4.68American University-1.490.1%1st Place
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7.11University of Maryland/Baltimore County-3.340.0%1st Place
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6.61Catholic University of America-2.900.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Hale | 19.9% | 26.7% | 20.9% | 15.6% | 10.5% | 4.8% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ava Pezzimenti | 11.0% | 14.3% | 20.0% | 18.6% | 17.8% | 12.2% | 5.1% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Hale | 19.9% | 26.7% | 20.9% | 15.6% | 10.5% | 4.8% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Langdon Wallace | 46.6% | 27.9% | 14.7% | 7.5% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brian Zagalsky | 7.1% | 10.1% | 14.1% | 15.8% | 20.9% | 19.3% | 10.8% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Erich Laughlin | 6.1% | 9.6% | 13.5% | 18.4% | 18.1% | 21.0% | 11.2% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Arey | 6.6% | 7.6% | 11.8% | 17.2% | 19.7% | 20.1% | 13.2% | 3.8% | 0.0% |
| Grace Hartman | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 21.9% | 59.1% | 0.0% |
| Christian Aron | 1.0% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 14.9% | 36.2% | 31.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.