← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Dartmouth College3.83+2.43vs Predicted
-
2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82+3.59vs Predicted
-
3University of Rhode Island3.02+2.10vs Predicted
-
4University of Vermont2.04+3.50vs Predicted
-
5Brown University2.82+0.67vs Predicted
-
6Yale University4.10-3.11vs Predicted
-
7Tufts University2.98-1.89vs Predicted
-
8U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.12+1.25vs Predicted
-
9Boston University2.21-2.05vs Predicted
-
10Bowdoin College2.51-3.78vs Predicted
-
11Roger Williams University1.48-2.22vs Predicted
-
12University of Connecticut-0.69-0.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.43Dartmouth College3.830.2%1st Place
-
5.59Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.1%1st Place
-
5.1University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
-
7.5University of Vermont2.040.0%1st Place
-
5.67Brown University2.820.1%1st Place
-
2.89Yale University4.100.3%1st Place
-
5.11Tufts University2.980.1%1st Place
-
9.25U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.120.0%1st Place
-
6.95Boston University2.210.0%1st Place
-
6.22Bowdoin College2.510.1%1st Place
-
8.78Roger Williams University1.480.0%1st Place
-
11.51University of Connecticut-0.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deirdre Lambert | 20.3% | 19.9% | 18.2% | 14.0% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Chloe Lepert | 6.4% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 12.4% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 11.9% | 9.7% | 5.4% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Chanel Miller | 10.7% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 13.8% | 9.7% | 12.9% | 9.8% | 6.5% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Laura Cuccio | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 15.6% | 16.8% | 11.3% | 1.3% |
| Sky Adams | 7.5% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 12.5% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 2.8% | 0.3% |
| Morgan Kiss | 27.5% | 25.0% | 15.8% | 12.7% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 3.0% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mariel Marchand | 10.5% | 9.6% | 12.3% | 12.0% | 11.0% | 12.3% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Ellen Kintz | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 18.1% | 34.3% | 10.3% |
| Erica Lush | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 12.5% | 14.9% | 13.0% | 6.7% | 0.8% |
| Lizzy Hamilton | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 11.9% | 14.2% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 4.4% | 0.3% |
| Wendy Reuss | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 12.6% | 21.3% | 26.0% | 5.8% |
| Jemma O'Donnell | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 9.6% | 81.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.