Race 4B

wick-womens-event

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Sidney Moyer 13.8% 13.9% 14.1% 12.2% 11.8% 9.8% 8.9% 7.6% 4.5% 3.0% 0.3%
Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia 16.8% 15.0% 13.9% 11.7% 11.3% 10.4% 8.6% 5.3% 4.3% 2.1% 0.4%
Laura Smith 6.6% 8.6% 8.3% 8.7% 9.3% 9.5% 12.3% 12.2% 11.4% 10.1% 2.9%
Lucia Loosbrock 16.6% 13.6% 13.8% 14.2% 10.5% 9.8% 7.6% 6.2% 5.0% 2.1% 0.5%
Julia Shannon-Grillo 10.1% 10.2% 9.8% 8.3% 10.7% 11.6% 10.0% 10.2% 9.8% 7.4% 1.9%
Audrey Commerford 7.6% 9.0% 8.3% 9.3% 10.2% 9.3% 11.8% 11.2% 10.5% 8.7% 4.0%
Lilly Saffer 5.0% 4.7% 5.0% 6.7% 7.2% 8.3% 9.1% 10.1% 14.1% 18.4% 11.5%
Danielle Bogacheva 1.3% 1.6% 2.1% 2.2% 2.1% 2.9% 3.2% 4.3% 7.0% 12.6% 60.8%
Arantxa Argibay 5.9% 5.2% 5.9% 6.2% 7.8% 8.1% 9.2% 12.5% 13.3% 16.2% 9.9%
Lizzie Cochran 10.1% 11.1% 10.7% 11.9% 10.4% 11.2% 9.8% 9.8% 7.5% 5.8% 1.8%
Marina Dreyfuss 6.2% 7.3% 8.2% 8.4% 8.5% 9.1% 9.5% 10.5% 12.6% 13.6% 6.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.